Premier League
Crystal Palace - Chelsea
01/25/2026, 02:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.3
3.5
2.2
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
22%
Draw
25%
Away Win
53%
Goals
Over 1.5
88%
Over 2.5
72%
Over 3.5
48%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
47%
Away or Draw
78%
No Draw
75%
Both Score
Yes
65%
No
35%
Key Factors
- Drastic form disparity: Chelsea arrives with a three-game winning streak, while Crystal Palace is winless in their last five matches
- Offensive superiority: Chelsea scores significantly more goals on average (1.64) than the home-weak Crystal Palace (1.05), whose goal production is stalling according to stats
- Central dominance: Chelsea's midfield with the in-form Enzo Fernándes and Moisés Caicedo is likely to control the game, especially against a Palace side weakened by injuries
Risk Factors
- Historical draws: Three of the last five head-to-head matches ended in a draw, showing that Palace can hold their own against Chelsea
- Derby character: As a London derby, Crystal Palace's motivation to end their losing streak could be particularly high
- Chelsea's injury list: Although the starting lineup is strong, the numerous absences could limit Chelsea's options from the bench as the game progresses
Overview
Crystal Palace (15th place, 28 points) hosts Chelsea (6th place, 34 points) at Selhurst Park for a Premier League match on January 25, 2026, at 3:00 PM. Chelsea aims to solidify its position in the upper third of the table, while Crystal Palace tries to break free from a difficult spell.
Form
The form curves of the two teams could hardly be more different
Crystal Palace: DLDLL - 0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses in their last five games
Chelsea: DLWWW - 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss in their last five games
Chelsea enters the match with a three-game winning streak and significantly better momentum (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Statistics
Chelsea has been significantly stronger offensively this season, averaging 1.64 goals per game, compared to Crystal Palace's 1.05
Defensively, both teams are similar, with Chelsea conceding an average of 1.09 goals and Crystal Palace 1.14
Chelsea has been involved in 13 matches where both teams scored, while for Crystal Palace this was the case in 10 games
Head-to-Head
In the last five head-to-head encounters, Crystal Palace has failed to win a single match
Chelsea won twice, while three matches ended in a draw
The goal difference is 7:4 in favour of Chelsea
The last two encounters both ended in a draw (1-1 and 0-0), suggesting tight games
Key Players
For Chelsea, Enzo Fernándes (6 season goals, 2 assists) and Moisés Caicedo (3 season goals) are the in-form players in midfield, both with a rising form trend. In attack, João Pedro is a constant threat with 7 season goals
For Crystal Palace, Jean-Philippe Mateta is the top scorer with 8 season goals. Yéremy Pino has been on target recently with 2 goals in his last 5 matches
Goalkeepers
In goal for Crystal Palace is Dean Henderson, who has kept 8 clean sheets this season
Chelsea's goal is defended by Robert Sánchez, who has already kept a clean sheet 9 times this season
Influences
Selhurst Park has seen an average of 2.0 goals per game in the last five matches, with a 40% rate for 'Both Teams to Score'
Chelsea's away offensive strength (1.58 goals per game) clearly surpasses Crystal Palace's home record (1.00 goals per game)
Both teams are accustomed to the natural grass pitch at the stadium