Premier League
Fulham - Brighton & Hove Albion
01/24/2026, 03:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.3
2.8
1.5
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
30%
Draw
31%
Away Win
39%
Goals
Over 1.5
81%
Over 2.5
58%
Over 3.5
33%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
61%
Away or Draw
70%
No Draw
69%
Both Score
Yes
62%
No
38%
Key Factors
- Fulham's strong home defense (0.93 goals conceded per game) meets Brighton's vulnerable away defense (1.89 goals conceded per game)
- Brighton is suffering from a significant injury crisis affecting several key players, which could impact their slight statistical advantage
- The stats for Craven Cottage (80% BTTS rate) suggest an open game where both teams are likely to score
Risk Factors
- Although Fulham's recent form is positive, their last game was a loss, which could have halted their momentum
- Brighton is showing great resilience despite numerous injuries, remaining unbeaten in their last five games
- The league table data is only a ranking signal as games played is 0, limiting the analysis of season-long performance
Overview
Fulham (11th place, 31 points) hosts Brighton & Hove Albion (12th place, 30 points) at Craven Cottage. This Premier League match takes place on January 24, 2026, at 4:00 PM. It is a mid-table clash between two teams separated by just one point.
Form
Fulham: DDWWL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
In the last five games, Fulham has secured 2 wins, 2 draws, and suffered 1 loss
Brighton & Hove Albion: DWDWD
Brighton is unbeaten in their last five games with 2 wins and 3 draws
Statistics
Offensively, both teams are nearly identical: Fulham scores an average of 1.36 goals per game, while Brighton scores 1.45
Defensively, Brighton is slightly more stable with 1.32 goals conceded per game compared to Fulham's 1.41
Fulham's defensive strength at home is notable, conceding only an average of 0.93 goals
In contrast, Brighton is vulnerable away, conceding an average of 1.89 goals
Head-to-Head
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fulham won 2 times, Brighton & Hove Albion won 1 time, and 2 games ended in a draw
The goal difference is 9-5 in favor of Fulham
The last encounter ended in a 1-1 draw on August 16, 2025
Key Players
Harry Wilson is a key player for Fulham with 7 season goals, 4 assists, and a rising form trend
RaĂșl JimĂ©nez has contributed 5 goals and 3 assists this season
Emile Smith Rowe also shows rising form and has scored 3 goals
Danny Welbeck is Brighton's top scorer with 8 season goals
Kaoru Mitoma and Brajan Gruda both show rising form and are important attacking threats for the visitors
Goalkeepers
Fulham's goalkeeper Bernd Leno has kept 5 clean sheets in 22 appearances this season
Brighton's goalkeeper Bart Verbruggen has also kept 5 clean sheets in 22 matches
Influences
Craven Cottage is known for high-scoring games, with an average of 3.0 total goals per game and an 80% rate for 'Both teams to score' in the last five matches
Fulham has a record of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses on their home grass pitch
Brighton has a record of 2 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses away on grass