Premier League
Chelsea - West Ham United
01/31/2026, 05:30 PM
Expected Goals
2.2
3.8
1.5
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
52%
Draw
21%
Away Win
27%
Goals
Over 1.5
92%
Over 2.5
78%
Over 3.5
53%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
73%
Away or Draw
48%
No Draw
79%
Both Score
Yes
71%
No
29%
Key Factors
- Attacking Mismatch: Chelsea's dominant, high-shot-volume offense (7.2 shots on target, 61% possession) meets West Ham's vulnerable away defense (2.11 goals conceded per game)
- Form Gap: Chelsea is on a 5-game winning streak (WWWWW), while West Ham has been inconsistent this season (LLWWW) despite a recent upturn
- Historical Dominance: Chelsea has won 4 of the last 5 head-to-head matches with a goal difference of 16:5, providing a psychological edge
Risk Factors
- Chelsea Fatigue: With only 3 days of rest since their last match, Chelsea might be at a disadvantage against a more rested West Ham (7 days rest)
- West Ham's Attacking Trend: Despite their low league position, West Ham has won their last 3 games and their recent goal average (1.6 per game) is better than their season average (1.2)
Overview
Chelsea (5th place, 37 points) host West Ham United (18th place, 20 points) at Stamford Bridge. This Premier League match takes place on January 31, 2026, at 6:30 PM. Chelsea aims to solidify their position in the upper half of the table, while West Ham desperately needs points in their relegation battle.
Form
Chelsea Form: WWWWW
Chelsea has won all of their last 5 matches and is on a 5-game winning streak
West Ham United Form: LLWWW
West Ham United has recorded 3 wins and 2 losses in their last 5 fixtures and comes into this match on a 3-game winning streak
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Statistics
Offensively, Chelsea averages 1.7 goals per game this season, compared to West Ham's 1.17
Defensively, Chelsea is more stable, conceding an average of 1.09 goals, while West Ham concedes 1.96 goals per game
At Stamford Bridge, Chelsea scores an average of 1.7 goals and concedes 1.1
West Ham scores 1.22 goals and concedes 2.11 away from home
Both teams have seen both teams score in 14 of their matches this season
Head-to-Head
In the last 5 head-to-head encounters, Chelsea has won 4 times, while West Ham United has managed only one victory
The goal difference is clearly in Chelsea's favor at 16:5
The last meeting ended in a 5-1 win for Chelsea, highlighting their recent dominance
Key Players
For Chelsea, João Pedro (8 season goals, 3 assists) and Enzo Fernánández (7 goals, 2 assists) are crucial, both showing a rising form trend
Pedro Neto is also a key contributor with 5 goals
For West Ham, Jarrod Bowen is the top scorer with 7 goals
Crysencio Summerville is in excellent form, having scored 3 goals in his last 5 games
Goalkeepers
Chelsea's Robert Sánchez has played this season. The team has kept a total of 9 clean sheets
West Ham's Alphonse Areola has played this season. His team has managed to keep a clean sheet only once so far
Influences
Chelsea has a strong home record on grass, with 5 wins from 10 matches
West Ham struggles away from home on the same surface, having lost 5 of 10 games
Matches at Stamford Bridge are relatively low-scoring, with an average of 2.4 goals per game, and both teams score in only 40% of the matches