Premier League
Sunderland - Burnley
02/02/2026, 08:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.4
2.4
1.0
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
42%
Draw
29%
Away Win
29%
Goals
Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
48%
Over 3.5
25%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
71%
Away or Draw
58%
No Draw
71%
Both Score
Yes
56%
No
44%
Key Factors
- Defensive home advantage: Sunderland's defense concedes only 0.53 goals at home, while Burnley's defense collapses away with 2.25 goals conceded per game
- Contrasting form trends: Burnley shows positive form and has been scoring more frequently than their season average, while Sunderland's offense has recently stalled
- Key midfield battle: Important midfielders like G. Xhaka (Sunderland) and J. Cullen (Burnley) are out, making the fight for control in the center unpredictable
Risk Factors
- Burnley's offensive trend: Burnley has recently been averaging 2.0 goals per game, significantly more than their season average, which could test Sunderland's strong home defense
- Sunderland's scoring drought: Sunderland's offense has declined with only 1.0 goals per game in recent matches, which could make it difficult to overcome Burnley's weak defense
Overview
Sunderland, in 11th place with 33 points, hosts Burnley, who are in 19th place with 15 points. The Premier League match will take place on February 2, 2026, at 9:00 PM at the Stadium of Light. Sunderland aims to solidify their mid-table position, while Burnley desperately needs points in the relegation battle.
Form
Sunderland (Form: DLDWL) has recorded only one win, two draws, and two losses in their last five games
Burnley (Form: LDWDD) is slightly more stable with only one loss, but three draws and one win
Burnley is unbeaten in their last two matches
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Statistics
Sunderland's offense scores an average of 1.04 goals per game, while Burnley is at 1.09 goals
The main difference is in defense: Sunderland concedes only 0.53 goals per game at home
Burnley is very vulnerable away, conceding an average of 2.25 goals per game
Sunderland has kept 7 clean sheets this season, compared to Burnley's 3
Head-to-Head
In the last five head-to-head encounters, Burnley leads with two wins to Sunderland's one, with two draws
The goal difference also favors Burnley at 6:3
The last meeting was a 2:0 victory for Burnley, giving them a slight historical dominance
Key Players
For Sunderland, striker Brian Brobbey is a key player with 5 season goals and a rising form trend
Enzo Le Fée contributes with 3 goals and 4 assists and also shows an upward trend
For Burnley, Jaidon Anthony is a key player with 5 season goals, and his form is also improving
Goalkeeper Martin Dúbravka is also showing strong performances with a rising form trend
Goalkeepers
Sunderland's goalkeeper Robin Roefs has kept a clean sheet in 7 out of 23 matches
Burnley's Martin Dúbravka has kept 3 clean sheets this season
Statistically, Roefs has more clean sheets this season
Influences
The home advantage for Sunderland is significant due to their strong defense at the Stadium of Light, with only 0.53 goals conceded per home game
Matches at this venue tend to be low-scoring, with an average of 2.2 total goals, which highlights Sunderland's defensive strength
Neither team has a convincing record on a natural grass surface