Premier League
Nottingham Forest - Crystal Palace
02/01/2026, 02:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.8
3.1
1.3
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
45%
Draw
29%
Away Win
26%
Goals
Over 1.5
86%
Over 2.5
62%
Over 3.5
39%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
74%
Away or Draw
55%
No Draw
71%
Both Score
Yes
58%
No
42%
Key Factors
- Drastic form difference: Nottingham Forest is on an upward trend, while Crystal Palace is in a deep crisis with four losses in five games
- Offensive contrasts: Forest's attack has recently improved (2.3 goals on average), while Palace's goal production has collapsed (0.8 goals on average)
- Home advantage vs away weakness: Crystal Palace is extremely weak away on grass, having not won in the last 10 games, giving Forest an advantage
Risk Factors
- Fatigue for Nottingham Forest: The team has had only three days of rest since their last match, which could be a factor
- Historical draws: Four of the last five direct encounters have ended in a draw, suggesting another tight game
Overview
Nottingham Forest (17th place, 25 points) host Crystal Palace (15th place, 28 points) at The City Ground
Form
Nottingham Forest: DDLWW - 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss
Crystal Palace: LDLLL - 0 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses
The form clearly favors Nottingham Forest, who have won their last two games, while Crystal Palace are on a three-game losing streak
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
Nottingham Forest scores an average of 1.0 goals per game this season and concedes 1.48 goals
Crystal Palace averages 1.04 goals scored and 1.22 goals conceded per game
At home, Forest scores an average of 1.0 goals, while Palace scores 1.08 goals away
Crystal Palace has a better record with 8 clean sheets compared to Nottingham Forest's 5
Head-to-Head
In the last 5 direct encounters, there was 1 win for Nottingham Forest, 0 wins for Crystal Palace, and 4 draws
The goal difference is 4:3 in favor of Nottingham Forest
The last meeting ended in a 1:1 draw
The high number of draws suggests historically balanced matches
Key Players
For Nottingham Forest, Morgan Gibbs-White with 5 season goals and Callum Hudson-Odoi with 3 goals are key offensive players
Igor Jesus has shown rising form with 4 goals in recent games
For Crystal Palace, Jean-Philippe Mateta is the top scorer with 8 season goals
Daniel Muñoz has also proven to be a goal threat with 3 goals and 2 assists
Goalkeepers
Matz Sels is in goal for Nottingham Forest, the team has kept 5 clean sheets this season
Dean Henderson is the goalkeeper for Crystal Palace, whose team has kept a clean sheet in 8 matches
Influences
Recent games at The City Ground have been rather defensive, with an average of 2.4 goals per game and a 'Both Teams to Score' rate of only 20%
Crystal Palace has a very poor record on grass, with 0 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses in their last 10 away games