Premier League
Manchester United - Fulham
02/01/2026, 02:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.9
3.2
1.3
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
48%
Draw
26%
Away Win
26%
Goals
Over 1.5
86%
Over 2.5
69%
Over 3.5
44%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
74%
Away or Draw
52%
No Draw
74%
Both Score
Yes
68%
No
32%
Key Factors
- Matchup Advantage: Manchester United's strong home attack (1.82 goals/game) meets Fulham's extremely vulnerable away defense (2.25 goals conceded/game)
- Offensive Form: Both teams are in good offensive form. Fulham is currently scoring more frequently (1.8 goals/game) than their season average (1.5)
- Fortress Old Trafford: United is significantly more stable at home, whereas Fulham shows its worst performances away
Risk Factors
- Fulham's good overall form: Despite their away weakness, Fulham has won 3 of the last 5 games and could cause an upset
- Balanced H2H record: The last two encounters ended in a draw, which could suggest a tighter game than expected
- Fulham's offense: Even away from home, Fulham scores consistently (1.38 per game) and could trouble United's defense
Overview
Manchester United (6th place, 38 points) host Fulham (7th place, 34 points) at Old Trafford for a Premier League match on February 1, 2026, at 3:00 PM
This is a key clash between direct table neighbors in the race for European spots
Both teams are looking for a win to stay in touch with the top of the table
Form
Manchester United: DDLWW - 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss in the last five games
The team is showing improving form with two consecutive wins
Fulham: DWWLW - 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss in the last five games
Fulham has a slightly stronger record in the recent past
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Statistics
Manchester United scores an average of 1.78 goals per game and concedes 1.48
Fulham averages 1.39 goals scored and also concedes 1.39
A crucial factor is United's home strength (1.82 goals scored, 1.18 conceded) compared to Fulham's away weakness (1.38 goals scored, 2.25 conceded)
Both teams scored in 17 of Manchester United's 23 games, while for Fulham it was 14 out of 23 games
Head-to-Head
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Manchester United won 2 times, Fulham won 1 time, and 2 games ended in a draw
The goal difference is 5-4 in favor of Manchester United
The last encounter ended in a 1-1 draw
Manchester United is considered slightly dominant in recent history
Key Players
Bruno Fernandes  is a key player in Manchester United's midfield with 5 goals and 10 assists
Bryan Mbeumo has already scored 8 goals this season
For Fulham, Harry Wilson is the top scorer with 8 goals and 4 assists, and his form is rising with 4 goals in the last 5 games
RaĂșl JimĂ©nez has contributed 5 goals and 3 assists
Goalkeepers
Senne Lammens is Manchester United's goalkeeper, whose team has kept 3 clean sheets this season
Bernd Leno is in goal for Fulham, who have already kept 5 clean sheets this season
Influences
The home advantage for Manchester United is statistically significant, supported by a strong home record (1.82 goals per game)
Fulham's defense is extremely vulnerable away, conceding an average of 2.25 goals per game
Statistics from Old Trafford suggest entertaining matches, with an average of 3.2 goals per game and a 60% rate for 'Both teams to score'