Premier League
Tottenham Hotspur - Manchester City
02/01/2026, 04:30 PM
Expected Goals
1.5
3.0
1.5
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
32%
Draw
33%
Away Win
35%
Goals
Over 1.5
88%
Over 2.5
65%
Over 3.5
38%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
65%
Away or Draw
68%
No Draw
67%
Both Score
Yes
64%
No
36%
Key Factors
- Manchester City is clearly superior in the league table (2nd vs. 14th) and in season statistics
- Despite City's superiority, Tottenham has a positive H2H record with 3 wins in the last 5 meetings
- Man City's attack is currently scoring more frequently (3.0 goals/game) than their season average (2.3) and faces Tottenham's vulnerable home defense (1.56 goals conceded)
Risk Factors
- Both teams have numerous injured players, which could affect squad depth and team chemistry
- Tottenham does not have a strong home record this season, conceding more goals than they score at home
- Both teams have had only 4 days of rest since their last match, which could lead to fatigue
Overview
Tottenham Hotspur hosts Manchester City at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium for a Premier League match
The encounter is scheduled for February 1, 2026, at 5:30 PM
This is a clash between 2nd-placed Manchester City with 46 points and 14th-placed Tottenham Hotspur with 28 points
Form
Tottenham Hotspur: LLWDW - 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses
Manchester City: WLLWW - 3 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses
Manchester City shows slightly stronger form with three wins in their last five matches compared to Tottenham's two
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
Manchester City has a stronger attack with an average of 2.04 goals per game compared to Tottenham's 1.43 goals
Defensively, City is also more solid, conceding only 0.91 goals per game, while Spurs concede 1.35
Tottenham is vulnerable at home, conceding an average of 1.56 goals per game
Manchester City is very dangerous away from home, scoring an average of 2.00 goals per game
At Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, 80% of the last matches saw both teams score
Head-to-Head
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tottenham Hotspur has won 3 times and Manchester City has won 2 times
There have been no draws
The goal difference in these encounters is 8:4 in favor of Tottenham
Tottenham won the most recent meeting
Key Players
Cristian Romero has been in outstanding recent form with 3 goals and 1 assist in the last 5 games
Richarlison is a key attacker with 7 goals this season
Erling Haaland is the top scorer with 20 goals this season
Rayan Cherki has already provided 7 assists this season
Goalkeepers
Tottenham Hotspur's Guglielmo Vicario has kept 7 clean sheets this season
Manchester City's Gianluigi Donnarumma has achieved 10 clean sheets
Influences
The stadium's statistics suggest a high-scoring game, with an 80% rate for 'Both teams to score'
Manchester City has a strong record on grass with 6 wins, 3 draws, and only one loss in their last 10 games
Tottenham's record on grass is negative, with 3 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses