Premier League
Wolverhampton Wanderers - AFC Bournemouth
01/31/2026, 03:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.4
3.1
1.6
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
34%
Draw
27%
Away Win
39%
Goals
Over 1.5
88%
Over 2.5
66%
Over 3.5
41%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
61%
Away or Draw
66%
No Draw
73%
Both Score
Yes
63%
No
37%
Key Factors
- Offensive Disparity: Bournemouth's attack (1.65 goals per game) is statistically far superior to that of the Wolves (0.65 goals per game)
- Defensive Vulnerability: Both teams have a weak defense (1.87 goals conceded per game), especially Bournemouth's away weakness (2.73 goals conceded) points to an open game
- Table Contrast and Form: The Wolves are in last place with a five-game losing streak, while Bournemouth is solid in mid-table
Risk Factors
- Recent Performance Improvement: Despite their poor season record, Wolverhampton's advancedStats show a significantly improved offensive performance in recent games (2.5 goals on average)
- Bournemouth's Away Weakness: The extreme vulnerability of Bournemouth's defense in away games (2.73 goals conceded) could create chances even for the Wolves' weak attack
Overview
Wolverhampton Wanderers (20th place, 8 points) host AFC Bournemouth (13th place, 30 points) at Molineux Stadium
Premier League match on January 31, 2026, 4:00 PM
A clash of contrasts: the bottom-of-the-table team battles against a secure mid-table side
Form
Wolverhampton Wanderers form: WDWDL - 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss
AFC Bournemouth form: LWDDW - 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss
Both teams have an identical record in their last five competitive matches
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
AFC Bournemouth scores significantly more goals on average this season (1.65) than Wolverhampton Wanderers (0.65)
The Wolves have failed to score in 12 of their 23 league games
Both teams have conceded 43 goals this season, an average of 1.87 per game
Bournemouth's defense is particularly vulnerable away, conceding an average of 2.73 goals
Head-to-Head
In the last 5 direct encounters, AFC Bournemouth won 3 times, Wolverhampton Wanderers won once, with 1 draw
The goal difference is 7:4 in favour of AFC Bournemouth
The last meeting was won by Bournemouth, who are considered the recently dominant team
Key Players
Jørgen Strand Larsen has been involved in 5 goals for Wolverhampton Wanderers in the last 5 games (3 goals, 2 assists)
Mateus Mané has scored 2 goals in the last 5 matches
Hee-chan Hwang contributed 1 goal and 2 assists in the last 5 games
For AFC Bournemouth, Antoine Semenyo is a key factor with 10 goals this season
Evanilson has scored 3 times in his last 5 appearances
Marcus Tavernier has scored 5 goals this season
Goalkeepers
Josá Sá is in goal for Wolverhampton Wanderers and has kept 2 clean sheets this season
Djordje Petrovic, AFC Bournemouth's goalkeeper, has kept 5 clean sheets this season
Influences
An average of 3.4 goals are scored per game at Molineux Stadium
Over 2.5 goals were scored in 60% of the last matches at the stadium
The Wolves' home record on natural grass is weak with 2 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses
Bournemouth's away record on natural grass is balanced with 2 wins, 6 draws, and 2 losses