Premier League
Brighton & Hove Albion - Everton
01/31/2026, 03:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.3
2.6
1.2
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
36%
Draw
34%
Away Win
30%
Goals
Over 1.5
82%
Over 2.5
48%
Over 3.5
24%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
70%
Away or Draw
64%
No Draw
66%
Both Score
Yes
58%
No
42%
Key Factors
- Everton are unbeaten in their last four matches, showing they are tough to beat, even if they often draw
- Brighton's goal production is stalling compared to their season average, according to advanced stats
- The recent form of Everton's forward Thierno Barry, with 3 goals in 5 games, could be a deciding factor
Risk Factors
- Venue statistics strongly suggest low-scoring games (only 20% Over 2.5 goals), making a decisive result unlikely
- Brighton's negative form trend and faltering attack could hamper their chances of a home win
- Everton's tendency to draw (3 of the last 5 games) makes an away win an uncertain bet
Overview
Brighton & Hove Albion (12th place, 30 points) host Everton (10th place, 33 points) at The American Express Community Stadium
A mid-table Premier League clash on January 31, 2026, 4:00 PM
Both teams are looking to secure a better position in the middle of the table
Form
Brighton & Hove Albion form: WDWDL - 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss
Everton form: LDDWD - 1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss
Brighton's form is inconsistent, ending with a loss most recently
Everton are unbeaten in their last four matches, but have drawn three of them
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
Brighton averages 1.46 goals scored per game at home and concedes 0.92
Everton averages 1.11 goals scored and conceded per game away
Everton has kept 9 clean sheets this season, while Brighton has managed 5
Both teams scored in 16 of Brighton's 23 league games, compared to only 9 of Everton's 23 matches
Head-to-Head
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, there was 1 win for Brighton & Hove Albion, 2 wins for Everton, and 2 draws
The goal difference is balanced at 5:5
The last match on August 24, 2025, was won by Everton 2-0
Key Players
Danny Welbeck is Brighton's top scorer with 8 goals this season
Defender Jan Paul van Hecke has contributed 3 goals and 2 assists
Thierno Barry is Everton's most prolific recent scorer with 5 goals this season, 3 of which came in the last 5 games
James Garner is a key figure in Everton's midfield with a season average rating of 7.37 and 3 assists
Goalkeepers
Brighton have kept 5 clean sheets this season with Bart Verbruggen in goal
Everton have kept 9 clean sheets with Jordan Pickford
Influences
The American Express Community Stadium sees an average of 2.6 goals per game, but only 20% of recent matches have had over 2.5 goals
Both teams have scored in 60% of games at this stadium
On a grass surface, Everton has a slightly better record than Brighton