Premier League
Wolverhampton Wanderers - Chelsea
02/07/2026, 03:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.2
2.9
1.7
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
28%
Draw
29%
Away Win
43%
Goals
Over 1.5
85%
Over 2.5
64%
Over 3.5
31%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
57%
Away or Draw
72%
No Draw
71%
Both Score
Yes
59%
No
41%
Key Factors
- Massive gap in form and quality: Chelsea's winning streak (WWWWW) meets Wolves' poor form and a 15-place difference in the league table
- Wolves' defensive fragility: Conceding 1.88 goals per game, Wolves' weak defense faces a Chelsea attack averaging 1.75 goals
- Historical dominance: Chelsea has won 4 of the last 5 head-to-head matches, scoring 18 goals, and also dominates on grass pitches where Wolves struggle
Risk Factors
- Chelsea's extensive injury list: Although goal threat seems compensated, the many absences, including key players like R. James and P. Lomba Neto, could disrupt team chemistry
- Low scoring trend at Molineux Stadium: Venue statistics show only a 20% rate for 'Both teams to score', suggesting a potentially low-scoring game
- Wolves' recent offensive improvement: According to advanced stats, Wolves are scoring more frequently recently than their season average, which could surprise Chelsea
Overview
Wolverhampton Wanderers, in 20th place with 8 points, host Chelsea, who are in 5th place with 40 points, at Molineux Stadium
The Premier League match will take place on February 7, 2026, at 3:00 PM
This is a clear bottom-of-the-table versus top-group clash, with Chelsea as the clear favorites
Form
Wolverhampton Wanderers: DWDLL - 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses
Chelsea: WWWWW - 5 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses
The form curves show an extreme contrast
Chelsea is on a winning streak, while the Wolves have only managed one win in their recent games
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Statistics
Chelsea's offense, averaging 1.75 goals per game, is significantly stronger than that of the Wolves at 0.63 goals
Wolverhampton Wanderers failed to score in 13 of 24 matches, whereas Chelsea failed in only 2
Defensively, Chelsea is also superior, conceding an average of only 1.13 goals per game compared to Wolves' 1.88
Chelsea has kept 9 clean sheets, while the Wolves have only 2
Head-to-Head
In the last 5 direct encounters, Chelsea has dominated with 4 wins, while Wolverhampton Wanderers have only secured one victory
The goal difference of 18:10 also underscores Chelsea's superiority
The last meeting ended in a 3-0 victory for Chelsea
Chelsea is historically listed as the dominant team
Key Players
For Wolverhampton Wanderers, defender Ladislav Krejci has scored 2 goals and provided 1 assist this season
Mateus Mané and Hee-chan Hwang have also contributed with 2 goals and 1 assist each
Chelsea's top scorer is João Pedro with 9 goals and 4 assists this season
Enzo Fernández is another key player in midfield with 8 goals and 2 assists
Pedro Neto has scored 5 goals and set up 3 more
Goalkeepers
Wolverhampton Wanderers' goalkeeper, José Sá, has kept 2 clean sheets this season
Chelsea's goalkeeper, Robert Sánchez, has kept 9 clean sheets in 23 appearances
The statistics clearly favor the Chelsea goalkeeper
Influences
Wolverhampton Wanderers have a poor record at home, averaging only 0.62 goals scored while conceding 1.56
Molineux Stadium has seen a low rate of 20% for 'Both teams to score' in recent games
On grass surfaces, the Wolves have a negative record (2W-3D-5L), while Chelsea boasts a strong record of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses