Premier League
Liverpool - Manchester City
02/08/2026, 04:30 PM
Expected Goals
2.1
3.3
1.2
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
55%
Draw
24%
Away Win
21%
Goals
Over 1.5
89%
Over 2.5
72%
Over 3.5
48%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
79%
Away or Draw
45%
No Draw
76%
Both Score
Yes
68%
No
32%
Key Factors
- Offensive Trend Advantage for Liverpool: The home team is scoring much more frequently recently (3.2 goals per game) than their season average, while Man City's goal production (1.4) has declined
- Home Strength vs. Away Weakness: Liverpool is defensively very solid at Anfield (1.0 goals conceded), while Man City is more vulnerable on the road (1.5 goals conceded)
- Immense Offensive Power on Both Sides: With Haaland on one side and a diversified attack around Ekitiké and Salah on the other, a high-scoring game is expected despite defensive absences
Risk Factors
- Numerous Defensive Absences: Both teams are weakened by injuries to key defenders (Gvardiol, Rúben Dias for City; Bradley, Gomez for Liverpool), which could lead to defensive instability
- Haaland's Goal Threat: Despite the team's recent dip in form, Erling Haaland remains a constant threat who can decide any match on his own
Overview
A top Premier League match takes place at Anfield, where Liverpool (6th place, 39 points) host Manchester City (2nd place, 47 points). The match is scheduled for February 8, 2026, at 5:30 PM. Liverpool is fighting to stay in touch with the European spots, while Manchester City aims to maintain the pressure on the league leaders.
Form
Liverpool's form: DWLWW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
From the last 5 matches, Liverpool has secured 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss
The team has won its last 2 consecutive games
Manchester City's form: LLWWD
Manchester City has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last 5 fixtures
The visitors' form is inconsistent
Statistics
Manchester City has a stronger attack, averaging 2.04 goals per game compared to Liverpool's 1.63
Defensively, City is also more stable, conceding only 0.96 goals per game on average, while Liverpool concedes 1.38
At home at Anfield, Liverpool scores an average of 1.67 goals and concedes 1.0
Manchester City is very dangerous away from home (2.0 goals per game) but also concedes 1.5 goals
Statistics for Anfield stadium suggest high-scoring games, with an average of 3.6 goals per match in recent fixtures
Head-to-Head
In the last 5 head-to-head encounters, there were 2 wins for Liverpool, 1 win for Manchester City, and 2 draws
The goal difference is narrowly in Liverpool's favor at 6:5
Manchester City won the last meeting 3-0
Key Players
Hugo Ekitiké is a crucial factor in Liverpool's attack with 10 goals this season
Mohamed Salah contributes significantly with 4 goals and 5 assists
Dominik Szoboszlai impresses with a strong season average rating of 7.33
For Manchester City, Erling Haaland is the standout striker with 20 season goals
Rayan Cherki acts as a key playmaker with 7 assists
Goalkeepers
Liverpool's goalkeeper Alisson has kept 7 clean sheets this season
Manchester City's goalkeeper Gianluigi Donnarumma has managed 10 clean sheets
Influences
Liverpool's home advantage at Anfield is statistically significant, as the team concedes only 1.0 goal per game there
The stadium is known for high-scoring matches, with an average of 3.6 goals and an over 2.5 rate of 60% in recent games
Both teams are accustomed to natural grass and consistently perform well on this surface