Premier League
Manchester United - Tottenham Hotspur
02/07/2026, 12:30 PM
Expected Goals
2.0
3.5
1.5
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
49%
Draw
27%
Away Win
24%
Goals
Over 1.5
92%
Over 2.5
78%
Over 3.5
52%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
76%
Away or Draw
51%
No Draw
73%
Both Score
Yes
68%
No
32%
Key Factors
- Manchester United's strong home form and current winning streak meet an inconsistent mid-table opponent
- Tottenham's historical H2H dominance is in stark contrast to the current league standings and form of both teams
- United is currently scoring more frequently (2.2 goals on average) than their season average, indicating an improved attack
Risk Factors
- The head-to-head record clearly favors Tottenham, who have won four of the last five encounters
- Although rated as compensated, Tottenham's extremely long injury list could affect squad depth and cohesion as the match progresses
- Both teams are strong offensively and tend to have high-scoring games, which can make the outcome unpredictable
Overview
Manchester United (4th place, 41 points) host Tottenham Hotspur (14th place, 29 points) at Old Trafford
Premier League match on February 7, 2026, 1:30 PM
Manchester United aims to solidify their position in the top 4, while Tottenham seeks to climb the table
Form
Manchester United: DLWWW
In the last five games, there have been 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss
The home team is on a three-game winning streak
Tottenham Hotspur: LWDWD
The visitors recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last five matches
Tottenham's form is inconsistent
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Statistics
Manchester United scores an average of 1.83 goals per game this season (1.77 at home), while Tottenham averages 1.46 goals (1.43 away)
Defensively, United concedes an average of 1.5 goals (1.15 at home), with the Spurs conceding 1.38 (1.21 away)
In 18 of Manchester United's 24 games, both teams scored
For Tottenham, 16 of 24 matches have seen over 2.5 goals
Head-to-Head
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, there were 0 wins for Manchester United, 4 wins for Tottenham Hotspur, and 1 draw
The goal difference is 5:11 from Manchester United's perspective
The last encounter ended in a 2-2 draw
Tottenham has been the more dominant team in recent meetings
Key Players
For Manchester United, Bruno Fernandes is the focal point with 5 season goals and 12 assists
Bryan Mbeumo has already scored 8 goals
Benjamin Sesko is showing rising form, having scored 4 times in his last 4 appearances
For Tottenham, defender Cristian Romero is also a goal threat with 4 season goals
Dominic Solanke is in top form with 4 goals in the last 5 games
Xavi Simons contributed to the offense with an assist in the last match
Goalkeepers
Senne Lammens is in goal for Manchester United; the team has achieved 3 clean sheets this season
Guglielmo Vicario guards the goal for Tottenham, whose team has kept 7 clean sheets this season
Influences
At Old Trafford, an average of 2.6 goals are scored per game
In 60% of matches at this venue, both teams score
Both teams are accustomed to a grass surface, with Manchester United having a slightly better home record on it