Premier League
Fulham - Everton
02/07/2026, 03:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.3
2.4
1.1
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
42%
Draw
30%
Away Win
28%
Goals
Over 1.5
78%
Over 2.5
52%
Over 3.5
28%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
72%
Away or Draw
58%
No Draw
70%
Both Score
Yes
58%
No
42%
Key Factors
- Home advantage for Fulham, conceding only 0.93 goals per game at home and playing in a high-scoring venue (3.0 goals per game)
- Contrasting form: Everton's 5-game unbeaten streak (mostly draws) meets Fulham's inconsistent but win-capable form (3 wins in 5 games)
- Historical dominance by Everton, who are unbeaten in the last 5 head-to-head meetings (2 wins, 3 draws) with a 7-3 goal aggregate
Risk Factors
- Everton's tendency to draw, with four in their last five games, makes the 1X2 market unpredictable
- Fulham's inconsistency (form WWLWL) suggests they could be vulnerable to a loss despite home advantage
- Everton's recent goal production is below their season average, which contradicts the high-scoring venue stats
Overview
Fulham (9th place, 34 points) host Everton (10th place, 34 points) at Craven Cottage. This Premier League match takes place on February 7, 2026, at 4:00 PM. It is a direct duel between two mid-table neighbors who are level on points going into the game.
Form
Fulham: WWLWL - 3 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses
Everton: DDWDD - 1 win, 4 draws, 0 losses
Fulham shows inconsistent form, while Everton is unbeaten in the last five games but draws frequently.
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
Fulham scores an average of 1.4 goals per game at home while conceding only 0.93 goals
Everton's away record is balanced with 1.1 goals scored and 1.1 goals conceded per game
Fulham has kept 5 clean sheets this season, while Everton has managed 9
In 15 of Fulham's games, both teams scored, compared to 10 of Everton's games
Craven Cottage is a venue for goals, with an average of 3.0 goals per game in recent matches
Head-to-Head
Fulham has failed to win in the last 5 direct encounters
Everton has won 2 of these matches, while 3 ended in a draw
The goal difference is 7-3 in favor of Everton
Everton is rated as the recently dominant team
Key Players
Harry Wilson is a key figure for Fulham with 8 season goals and 4 assists
Raúl Jiménez is also a crucial part of the attack with 6 goals and 3 assists
For Everton, Thierno Barry is the top scorer with 5 season goals
James Tarkowski is a key component of the defense, while James Garner directs the midfield
Goalkeepers
Fulham's goalkeeper Bernd Leno has kept 5 clean sheets in 24 season matches
Everton's Jordan Pickford has kept a clean sheet 9 times in 24 games
Influences
The statistics for Craven Cottage show a tendency for high-scoring games, with an average of 3.0 goals per game and an 80% rate for 'Both teams to score'
Fulham has a strong record on grass (6 wins in 10 games)
Everton struggles more on this surface with only 2 wins from 10 games