Premier League
Sunderland - Liverpool
02/11/2026, 08:15 PM
Expected Goals
1.2
3.1
2.0
1:1
11%1:2
10%0:2
8%0:1
7%1:3
6%Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
21%
Draw
24%
Away Win
55%
Goals
Over 1.5
83%
Under 1.5
17%
Over 2.5
61%
Under 2.5
39%
Over 3.5
38%
Under 3.5
62%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
45%
Away or Draw
79%
No Draw
76%
Both Score
Yes
61%
No
39%
Key Factors
- Drastic form discrepancy in the league: Liverpool arrives with five consecutive league wins, while Sunderland's form is inconsistent
- Liverpool's offensive superiority: Averaging 1.6 goals per game and with a recent surge to 3.2 goals in recent matches, Liverpool's attack is significantly more potent
- Key matchup in focus: Sunderland's extremely strong home defense (only 0.47 goals conceded/game) will be tested by Liverpool's dangerous away attack
Risk Factors
- Sunderland's home fortress: Conceding only 0.47 goals per home game, Sunderland's defense could neutralize Liverpool's attack
- Potential fatigue for Liverpool: With only three days of rest since their last match, Liverpool has one less day to recover than Sunderland
- Key absences: The absence of Dominik Szoboszlai, in particular, could impact Liverpool's creative thrust in midfield
Overview
Sunderland, in 11th place in the table with 36 points, hosts Liverpool, who are in 6th place with 39 points
The Premier League match will take place on February 11, 2026, at 9:15 PM at the Stadium of Light
This is an upper-mid-table clash where Liverpool are considered favorites, underlined by a calculated win probability of 55%
Form
Sunderland's form across all competitions is mixed: DWLWL (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses)
Liverpool's overall form is similar: WLWWL (3 wins, 2 losses)
However, the league form tells a different story: Liverpool has a perfect streak of five consecutive wins (WWWWW), while Sunderland has been more inconsistent (WLWDD)
Both teams lost their most recent match (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Statistics
Liverpool has the stronger offense, averaging 1.6 goals per game compared to Sunderland's 1.08 goals
However, Sunderland is extremely strong defensively at home, conceding an average of just 0.47 goals per game
Liverpool's defense is more vulnerable away, allowing an average of 1.75 goals
Matches at the Stadium of Light average only 1.8 goals, suggesting a tendency for low-scoring games
Head-to-Head
Sunderland has failed to win in the last five head-to-head encounters
Liverpool won twice, with three matches ending in a draw
The goal difference from these meetings is 8:5 in favor of Liverpool
The last encounter ended in a 1-1 draw
Key Players
Sunderland's attack is led by Brian Brobbey (5 season goals) and creative midfielder Enzo Le FĂ©e (3 goals, 4 assists)
For Liverpool, the main threats are striker Hugo Ekitiké with 10 season goals and Mohamed Salah, who has been directly involved in 9 goals (4 goals, 5 assists)
Goalkeepers
Sunderland's goalkeeper Robin Roefs has kept 8 clean sheets this season
Liverpool's Alisson has managed 7 clean sheets
Influences
Sunderland's home advantage is primarily evident in their extremely solid defense, which concedes only 0.47 goals per game at home
Statistics for the Stadium of Light show an average of 1.8 goals per game, indicating that matches there are often tight and low-scoring
This defensive home strength will face Liverpool's potent away attack (1.58 goals per game)