Premier League
Nottingham Forest - Wolverhampton Wanderers
02/11/2026, 07:30 PM
Expected Goals
1.6
2.6
1.0
1:1
13%1:0
11%2:0
10%2:1
10%0:0
9%Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
52%
Draw
28%
Away Win
21%
Goals
Over 1.5
75%
Under 1.5
25%
Over 2.5
48%
Under 2.5
52%
Over 3.5
27%
Under 3.5
73%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
79%
Away or Draw
48%
No Draw
72%
Both Score
Yes
51%
No
49%
Key Factors
- Extreme home/away contrast: Forest's solid home record meets the Wolves' disastrous away performance (0.62 goals scored, 2.5 conceded per game)
- Wolves' offensive impotence: With only 0.64 goals per game, the away team has the weakest attack in the league and is on a five-game losing streak in the league
- Historical record: Nottingham Forest is unbeaten in the last five head-to-head encounters (2 wins, 3 draws), giving them a psychological edge
Risk Factors
- Weakened Wolves attack: Only about 63% of the usual goal threat is available for the visitors, further hampering their already poor offense
- Potentially low-scoring game: The probability for under 2.5 goals is 52%, and the stadium averages only 2.2 goals, increasing the risk of a draw
Overview
Nottingham Forest (17th place, 26 points) host Wolverhampton Wanderers (20th place, 8 points) at The City Ground
Premier League match on February 11, 2026, 8:30 PM
This is a crucial relegation battle, with the seventeenth-placed team facing the bottom of the table
The mathematical analysis favors the home team with a 52% probability of winning
Form
Nottingham Forest's form across all competitions is LWWDL (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses in the last 5 games)
Wolverhampton Wanderers' form is WDLLL (1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses), with the last three games all ending in defeat
In the league, the Wolves' form is particularly alarming at LLLLL (five consecutive losses)
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Statistics
Nottingham Forest averages 1.0 goal scored per game this season, while conceding 1.52
Wolverhampton Wanderers has the weakest offense in the league, with just 0.64 goals per game
The Wolves' defense is particularly vulnerable away from home, conceding an average of 2.5 goals per game
Forest has failed to score in 11 matches this season, while Wolves has done so in 13 matches
Head-to-Head
Nottingham Forest is unbeaten in the last 5 head-to-head matches
Nottingham Forest won 2 of these encounters, while 3 ended in a draw
The goal difference of 8:4 also favors Forest
The last meeting was won 1:0 by Nottingham Forest
Key Players
Morgan Gibbs-White is Nottingham Forest's top scorer with 6 season goals and 2 assists
Callum Hudson-Odoi (3 goals, 1 assist) is also a key offensive player
For Wolves, defenders Ladislav Krejci and Santiago Bueno are surprisingly among the top scorers with 2 goals each
Tolu Arokodare has also contributed 2 goals this season
Goalkeepers
Stefan Ortega is in goal for Nottingham Forest
The team has kept 5 clean sheets this season
For Wolves, José Sá is the goalkeeper
The team has managed only 2 clean sheets this season
Influences
Nottingham Forest has a clear home advantage compared to the Wolves' disastrous away record
Wolves concede an average of 2.5 goals away from home and score only 0.62
Recent games at The City Ground have been relatively low-scoring, with an average of 2.2 goals
Both teams prefer a counter-attacking style with below-average possession (Forest 42%, Wolves 44%)