Premier League
Everton - AFC Bournemouth
02/10/2026, 07:30 PM
Expected Goals
1.4
2.8
1.4
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
42%
Draw
31%
Away Win
27%
Goals
Over 1.5
82%
Over 2.5
52%
Over 3.5
24%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
73%
Away or Draw
58%
No Draw
69%
Both Score
Yes
58%
No
42%
Key Factors
- Weakened Bournemouth attack: Only 59% of goal production available due to Semenyo and Tavernier absences
- Home advantage meets away vulnerability: Everton stable at home while Bournemouth concede 2.31 goals per away game
- High-scoring venue: Hill Dickinson Stadium shows 80% BTTS rate and high goal output in recent matches
Risk Factors
- Bournemouth's absences significantly reduce goal threat - 41% of season goals missing through Semenyo and Tavernier
- Both teams lack consistency in chance conversion despite stable form
Overview
Everton (8th place, 37 points) host AFC Bournemouth (11th place, 34 points) at Hill Dickinson Stadium
Premier League match on February 10, 2026, 7:30 PM
A mid-table clash with just three points separating both teams
Form
Everton Form: DWDDW - 2 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses
AFC Bournemouth Form: DDWWD - 2 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses
Both teams are unbeaten in their last five games showing similar stable form
Everton finished their last match with a win against Fulham (2-1)
Statistics
Everton average 1.12 goals scored per game and 1.12 goals conceded
AFC Bournemouth score significantly more with 1.64 goals avg but also concede more (1.76)
Away form is vulnerable for visitors: 2.31 goals conceded per game
Everton kept 9 clean sheets, Bournemouth only 6
At Hill Dickinson Stadium, both teams scored in 80% of recent matches
Head-to-Head
5 head-to-head matches in recent history
AFC Bournemouth dominate with 4 wins against just 1 Everton victory
Goal ratio of 4:8 heavily favors the visitors
Last meeting saw Everton win 1-0 at home in December 2025
Key Players
Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall with 5 season goals and recently rising form
Thierno Barry showing upward trend with 2 goals in last 5 games
James Garner as most consistent performer with 7.37 avg rating
Evanilson leads Bournemouth's attack with 5 season goals
Alex Scott in strong form with 2 goals and 1 assist in last 5 games
Rayan as impact substitute with impressive 0.80 goals per 90 minutes
Goalkeepers
Jordan Pickford in excellent current form - 7.45 avg rating in last 5 games
Everton kept clean sheets in 9 of 25 season games
Djordje Petrovic with solid 6.75 season average rating
Bournemouth achieved 6 clean sheets in 25 games
Influences
Hill Dickinson Stadium shows higher-scoring tendency with 2.6 goals per game average
80% BTTS rate and 80% Over 1.5 rate in recent home matches
Both teams have balanced records on grass surface
Everton at home: 1.15 goals scored, 1.23 conceded
Bournemouth away: 1.62 goals scored but 2.31 conceded