Premier League
Crystal Palace - Wolverhampton Wanderers
02/22/2026, 02:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.5
2.7
1.2
1:1
14%2:1
9%2:0
7%1:2
7%2:2
6%Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
42%
Draw
28%
Away Win
29%
Goals
Over 1.5
77%
Under 1.5
23%
Over 2.5
52%
Under 2.5
49%
Over 3.5
29%
Under 3.5
71%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
71%
Away or Draw
58%
No Draw
72%
Both Score
Yes
57%
No
43%
Key Factors
- Crystal Palace's offensive crisis: With top scorer Jean-Philippe Mateta (8 season goals) out, only 54% of their goal-scoring threat is available
- Wolves' extreme away weakness: Conceding an average of 2.5 goals per away game makes their defense a massive liability on the road
- Historical dominance: Crystal Palace is unbeaten in the last five head-to-head meetings (4 wins, 1 draw), providing a clear psychological advantage
Risk Factors
- Potential fatigue for Crystal Palace: The team has had only three days of rest since their last match
- Limited Wolves offense: Only 61% of the team's seasonal goal-scoring threat is available for this match
- Crystal Palace's inconsistent form: The home team has won only one of their last five competitive matches
Overview
Crystal Palace (14th place, 32 points) host Wolverhampton Wanderers (20th place, 10 points) at Selhurst Park
The Premier League match takes place on February 22, 2026, 3:00 PM
According to mathematical analysis, the home team enters the match as favorites with a win probability of 42%
Form
Crystal Palace's current form: L-D-W-L-D
Wolverhampton Wanderers' current form: L-L-D-W-D
Both teams have an identical record in their last five matches: one win, two draws, and two losses
Crystal Palace drew their last match, while the Wolves also came away with a draw from their most recent game
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Statistics
Crystal Palace scores an average of 1.08 goals per game this season, while the Wolves only manage 0.67 goals
Defensively, Palace is also more stable, conceding an average of 1.23 goals, compared to 1.85 for the Wolves
Particularly striking is the away weakness of the Wolves, who concede an average of 2.5 goals per away game
Crystal Palace concedes an average of 1.5 goals at home
Head-to-Head
In the last five head-to-head encounters, Crystal Palace has clearly dominated with four wins, while one match ended in a draw
Wolverhampton failed to win any of these games
The goal difference from these matches is 14:7 in favor of Crystal Palace
The last meeting was a 2-0 victory for Crystal Palace
Key Players
For Crystal Palace, Ismaïla Sarr (5 goals, 1 assist), Daniel Muñoz (3 goals, 2 assists), and Jørgen Strand Larsen (2 goals in 2 games) are the key offensive players
For Wolverhampton Wanderers, Ladislav Krejci (2 goals, 1 assist), Santiago Bueno (2 goals, 1 assist), and Mateus Mané (2 goals, 1 assist) are the most important players in attack
Goalkeepers
In goal for Crystal Palace is Dean Henderson, who has kept 9 clean sheets this season
The Wolverhampton Wanderers' goal is defended by José Sá, who has managed 3 clean sheets so far
Influences
The home advantage for Crystal Palace could be decisive, especially given the glaring away weakness of the Wolves, who concede 2.5 goals per game on the road
Statistics at Selhurst Park show a tendency for entertaining matches with an average of 2.4 goals per game
In 3 of Crystal Palace's last 5 home games, both teams scored