Ligue 1
Troyes - Paris
08/22/2026, 06:45 PM
Expected Goals
3.0
4.0
1.0
2:1
8%3:1
8%3:0
8%4:1
6%4:0
6%The Lab
- 1Paris with Adama Camara: 0.8 goals/game. Without: 0 goals/game (6 of 8 games)
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
76%
Draw
15%
Away Win
9%
Goals
Over 1.5
92%
Under 1.5
8%
Over 2.5
77%
Under 2.5
23%
Over 3.5
57%
Under 3.5
43%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
91%
Away or Draw
24%
No Draw
85%
Both Score
Yes
62%
No
38%
Key Factors
- Paris is missing Moses Simon, Marshall Munetsi, Jonathan Ikoné, and Ciro Immobile, leaving only 88% of their regular lineup strength available
- The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for Troyes with a 76% probability
- Paris averaged 42% possession and 4.2 shots on target in recent matches while playing counter-oriented
Risk Factors
- Limited data availability for Troyes due to missing season statistics and form history in the dataset
- Paris conceded an average of 1.64 goals per away match last season
Overview
Troyes host Paris on matchday 2 of Ligue 1
The venue is Complexe Sportif de l'Aube N° 2 - Terrain du Bas
The match is scheduled for August 22, 2026, 7:45 PM
The mathematical analysis rates the hosts as clear favorites with a 76% win probability
Form
Paris is stable with a form of WDDWD
Form code: W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
No form data is available for Troyes in the current dataset
Statistics
Paris scored an average of 1.38 goals per game last season
Away from home the visitors conceded an average of 1.64 goals per match
Troyes season statistics are missing from the provided dataset
Key Players
Ilan Kebbal scored 9 goals and provided 4 assists this season
Pierre Lees-Melou has a rising form trend with a rating of 6.87
Luca Koleosho has recorded 3 goals and 1 assist this season
Goalkeepers
Kevin Trapp guards the visitors' goal with an average rating of 6.81
No performance data is available for Troyes goalkeeper Patrick Beach
Influences
The match will be played on natural grass
The venue is Complexe Sportif de l'Aube N° 2 - Terrain du Bas