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Ligue 1

Angers SCO - LOSC Lille

08/23/2026, 01:00 PM

0 : 2
Expected Goals
Angers SCO
0.7
Total xG
2.1
LOSC Lille
1.4
Most Likely Scores

0:1

15%

1:1

14%

0:0

14%

0:2

11%

1:2

8%
What influences the xG?
ASLL

Angers SCO

Attack weakness (0.48x league average)
-1.31
Standings disadvantage (pos 13 vs 3, 10 places gap)
-0.18
5 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (0.4 goals/match)
-0.16
Declining form (0.5 vs 0.9 season average)
-0.13
Carlens Arcus on the bench (0 goals, 3 assists)
Goduine Koyalipou not in squad (2 goals, 1 assists)

LOSC Lille

Attack strength (1.29x league average)
+0.39
Defensive strength (1.2 conceded vs 1 league avg)
+0.21
Standings advantage (pos 3 vs 13, 10 places gap)
+0.07
3 of last 5 matches with 2+ goals (1.4 goals/match)
-0.03
MatĂ­as FernĂĄndez-Pardo not in squad (8 goals, 5 assists)
FĂ©lix Correia on the bench (4 goals, 5 assists)
Thomas Meunier not in squad (1 goals, 2 assists)

League

High-scoring league (2.8 goals/match)
+0.33
+0.33
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Angers SCO with Pierrick Capelle: 0.5 goals/game. Without: 0 goals/game (6 of 8 games)

  • 2
    Angers SCO: 76% of xG value comes in the second half (last 8 games with xG data)

  • 3
    LOSC Lille with Calvin Verdonk: 2 goals/game. Without: 0.3 goals/game (5 of 8 games)

  • 4
    LOSC Lille: 4 wins in 4 games with xG above 1.0 (100% win rate)

  • 5
    LOSC Lille: 70% of xG value comes in the second half (last 8 games with xG data)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

18%

Draw

31%

Away Win

50%

Goals

Over 1.5

64%

Under 1.5

36%

Over 2.5

35%

Under 2.5

65%

Over 3.5

16%

Under 3.5

84%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

50%

Away or Draw

82%

No Draw

69%

Both Score

Yes

40%

No

60%

Key Factors
  • Clear historical dominance: LOSC Lille won all 4 previous encounters without conceding a single goal, with a 6-0 goal difference
  • Mathematical edge: The prediction model calculates a high away win probability of 50% with 1.37 expected goals for Lille
  • Offensive struggles for the hosts: Angers averaged only 0.5 goals recently compared to their season average of 0.9
Risk Factors
  • Weakened playmaking for Lille: MatĂ­as FernĂĄndez-Pardo and FĂ©lix Correia are not in the starting lineup, leaving only 69% of seasonal assist potential available
  • Angers defensive strength at home: The hosts concede an average of only 0.95 goals in home matches
Overview

Angers SCO host LOSC Lille at Stade Raymond Kopa

Ligue 1 match on August 23, 2026, 3:00 PM

Both teams start the new season with 0 points with Angers in 11th and Lille in 10th

Form

Angers SCO enters with a form of LWLLD with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses

The hosts struggle offensively, averaging 0.5 goals recently compared to their season average of 0.9

LOSC Lille heads into the match with a form of LWLWW with 3 wins and 2 losses

The visitors score consistently, averaging around 1.5 goals per game

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Statistics

Angers scores an average of 0.85 goals and concedes 1.41 goals per game over the season

In home games, Angers averages 0.86 goals scored and 0.95 goals conceded

Lille averages 1.53 goals scored and 1.09 goals conceded per match

In away games, Lille scores an average of 1.56 goals per match

In Angers' home games, both teams scored in 2 out of 5 matches

Head-to-Head

There have been 4 head-to-head matches between the two teams

Lille clearly dominates the record with 4 wins, while Angers has yet to win a match

The goal difference stands at 6-0 in favor of Lille

The last encounter on February 22, 2026 ended in a 1-0 away win for Lille

Key Players

Branco van den Boomen controls the midfield with an average rating of 7.06

Yassin Belkhdim has contributed 2 goals and 2 assists so far

Lilian Raolisoa recorded 2 goals and 4 assists this season

HĂĄkon Arnar Haraldsson shines for the visitors with 8 goals and 2 assists

Romain Perraud recorded 3 goals and 4 assists from the defensive line

Olivier Giroud is a crucial part of the offense with 7 goals

Goalkeepers

Anthony Lopes starts in goal for the hosts

Angers recorded a total of 10 clean sheets this season

Berke Özer guards the goal for Lille with an average rating of 6.84

Lille managed to secure 13 clean sheets this campaign

Influences

The match is played on natural grass

At Stade Raymond Kopa, games averaged 1.8 total goals over the last 5 matches

The rate for both teams to score at this venue stands at 40%

Only one of the last 5 home games for Angers ended with over 2.5 goals

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