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Ligue 1

Auxerre - Angers SCO

08/29/2026, 06:45 PM

1 : 3
Expected Goals
Auxerre
1.2
Total xG
2.1
Angers SCO
1.0
Most Likely Scores

1:1

15%

0:0

14%

1:0

12%

0:1

10%

2:0

8%
What influences the xG?
AUXAS

Auxerre

Attack weakness (0.69x league average)
-0.55
Rising form (1.5 vs 1 season average)
+0.15
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.2 goals/match)
+0.06
Lassine Sinayoko not in squad (12 goals, 4 assists)
Bryan Okoh not in squad (3 goals, 0 assists)
Gideon Mensah not in squad (0 goals, 2 assists)
57% of goal output missing (only 59% available)
Strong home record (1.3 vs 1 goals/match)

Angers SCO

Attack weakness (0.75x league average)
-0.43
5 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (0.4 goals/match)
-0.15
Declining form (0.5 vs 0.9 season average)
-0.12
Lilian Raolisoa on the bench (2 goals, 4 assists)
18% of goal output missing (only 86% available)

League

High-scoring league (2.8 goals/match)
+0.32
+0.32
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Angers SCO: opponent scores first in 7 of 10 games (70%)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

39%

Draw

33%

Away Win

29%

Goals

Over 1.5

65%

Under 1.5

35%

Over 2.5

36%

Under 2.5

64%

Over 3.5

17%

Under 3.5

83%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

71%

Away or Draw

62%

No Draw

67%

Both Score

Yes

44%

No

56%

Key Factors
  • Home advantage for Auxerre against a traveling side that conceded 2.15 goals per away game last season
  • Attacking trends show Auxerre averaging 1.5 goals recently compared to their season average of 1.0, while Angers SCO is stalled at 0.5
  • The most recent meeting at Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps in May 2026 ended in a clear 3:1 home win for Auxerre
Risk Factors
  • Lassine Sinayoko, Bryan Okoh, and Gideon Mensah are missing for Auxerre, leaving only 59% of the usual attacking threat available
  • Low offensive output for the visitors, who recently averaged only 2.6 shots on target per match
Overview

Auxerre host Angers SCO at the Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps

Ligue 1 match on August 29, 2026, 8:45 PM

Both teams started the season with a loss and occupy positions 17 and 15

An important early-season clash in the lower half of the table

Form

Auxerre show form DLWDL with a loss in their last match against Lens

The hosts recorded one win and two draws in their last five matches

Angers SCO show form WLLDL and recently lost to LOSC Lille

Both sides are looking for stability early in the campaign

Statistics

Auxerre averaged 1 goal scored and 1.29 goals conceded per match last season

Angers SCO averaged 0.85 goals scored and 1.41 goals conceded per match

Auxerre kept seven clean sheets in 18 home matches

Angers SCO struggled away, conceding an average of 2.15 goals per game

Head-to-Head

Balanced head-to-head record with two wins each in four encounters

Goal difference of 4:5 in favor of Angers SCO

The last meeting on May 3, 2026, ended in a 3:1 victory for Auxerre

Key Players

Danny Namaso recorded 3 goals and 3 assists last season

Kévin Danois contributed 3 goals and one assist with a strong 7.08 rating

Amine Sbaï leads the visitors with 3 goals this season

Not selected for Angers SCO: Lilian Raolisoa

Goalkeepers

Mamadou Diop starts in goal for Auxerre

Anthony Lopes is in goal for Angers SCO

Auxerre kept 9 clean sheets last season compared to 10 for Angers SCO

Influences

Auxerre kept most of their clean sheets at Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps last season

Home statistics of 1 goal scored per game support a slight advantage

Mathematical models favor Auxerre with a 39% win probability

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