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Ligue 1

Angers SCO - Rennes

09/06/2026, 03:15 PM

1 : 2
Expected Goals
Angers SCO
1.0
Total xG
2.3
Rennes
1.3
Most Likely Scores

1:1

15%

0:0

12%

0:1

12%

0:2

9%

1:2

9%
What influences the xG?
ASREN

Angers SCO

Attack weakness (0.67x league average)
-0.54
Standings disadvantage (pos 13 vs 6, 7 places gap)
-0.15
4 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (0.8 goals/match)
-0.05
Lilian Raolisoa on the bench (2 goals, 4 assists)
16% of goal output missing (only 87% available)

Rennes

Rising form (2.5 vs 1.9 season average)
+0.19
Standings advantage (pos 6 vs 13, 7 places gap)
+0.04
3 of last 5 matches with 2+ goals (2 goals/match)
+0.04
Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal on the bench (2 goals, 1 assists)
Weak away record (1.2 vs 1.9 goals/match)

League

High-scoring league (2.8 goals/match)
+0.33
+0.33
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Rennes: 4 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 12 games)

  • 2
    Rennes: first goal in 7 of 10 games (70%)

  • 3
    Rennes: 64% of all goals in the first half (14 of 22, last 11 games)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

25%

Draw

31%

Away Win

43%

Goals

Over 1.5

68%

Under 1.5

32%

Over 2.5

39%

Under 2.5

61%

Over 3.5

19%

Under 3.5

81%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

57%

Away or Draw

75%

No Draw

69%

Both Score

Yes

47%

No

53%

Key Factors
  • Rennes' strong offense (season average 1.74 goals) meets a vulnerable Angers defense, supported by a 43% mathematical probability for an away win
  • Rennes averaged 6.0 shots on target in recent matches and controlled the game with 56% average possession
  • Historical dominance with three Rennes wins in four meetings and a clean away victory in their last direct duel
Risk Factors
  • Defensive instability for Rennes with an average of 1.94 goals conceded per away match
  • Angers SCO averaged only 3.0 shots on target per match in recent games
Overview

Angers SCO (11th place, 3 points) host Rennes (6th place, 4 points) at Stade Raymond Kopa

Ligue 1 match on September 6, 2026, 5:15 PM

The home side aims to build on their recent victory while the visitors want to maintain their unbeaten start

Form

Angers SCO has a form of LLDLW with one win in their last five matches

Rennes travels with a form of LDWDW having secured two wins and two draws

Both teams won their respective last match in the previous round

Statistics

Rennes averages 1.74 goals scored and 1.47 goals conceded per game this season

Angers SCO scores an average of 0.85 goals and concedes 1.41 per match

Angers SCO averages 0.86 goals scored and 0.95 goals conceded in home matches

Head-to-Head

Rennes dominates the head-to-head history with three wins from four matches

Angers SCO is yet to win a direct duel against Rennes with one draw recorded

The last direct meeting ended in a 2-1 away victory for Rennes

Key Players

Amine Sbaï leads the attack of Angers SCO with three goals this season

Estéban Lepaul is the top scorer for Rennes with 20 seasonal goals and six goals in his last five games

Valentin Rongier stabilizes Rennes' midfield with an average season rating of 7.20

Not nominated: Lilian Raolisoa (2T/4A)

Not nominated: Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal (2T/1A)

Goalkeepers

Anthony Lopes starts in goal for Angers SCO having kept ten clean sheets overall this season

Brice Samba guards the goal for Rennes and has also registered ten clean sheets

Influences

Stade Raymond Kopa averages 1.8 total goals per match in recent games

Angers SCO has a slight rest advantage with eight days since their last match compared to seven days for Rennes

The game will be played on a grass pitch

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