Premier League
West Ham United - AFC Bournemouth
02/21/2026, 05:30 PM
Expected Goals
1.3
3.2
1.9
1:1
12%1:2
10%0:2
7%2:1
7%2:2
6%Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
25%
Draw
25%
Away Win
49%
Goals
Over 1.5
84%
Under 1.5
16%
Over 2.5
61%
Under 2.5
39%
Over 3.5
39%
Under 3.5
61%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
51%
Away or Draw
75%
No Draw
75%
Both Score
Yes
63%
No
37%
Key Factors
- Bournemouth's attack is severely weakened, missing players Antoine Semenyo and Marcus Tavernier who account for over 51% of the season's goals
- Both teams have significant defensive issues: West Ham concedes 1.93 goals per game at home, while Bournemouth concedes 2.21 away
- Bournemouth is the slight mathematical favorite with a 49% win probability, reflecting their better league position and five-game unbeaten streak
Risk Factors
- West Ham has to cope without key attackers Callum Wilson and Lucas Paquetá, leaving only 63% of their usual goal threat available
- West Ham's defensive frailty at home is a major risk, as they concede an average of 1.93 goals per game at the London Stadium
Overview
West Ham United (18th place, 24 points) host AFC Bournemouth (9th place, 37 points) at the London Stadium
Premier League match on February 21, 2026, 5:30 PM
This is a crucial match for West Ham in their relegation battle, while Bournemouth looks to solidify their mid-table position
Form
West Ham United Form: WLWDW
In the last 5 games, they have recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss
AFC Bournemouth Form: DWWDW
Bournemouth is unbeaten in their last 5 matches, with 3 wins and 2 draws
Statistics
Offensively, Bournemouth has the edge with an average of 1.65 goals per game compared to West Ham's 1.23
Both defenses are vulnerable: West Ham concedes an average of 1.93 goals at home, while Bournemouth concedes 2.21 away
Both teams scored in 16 of West Ham's 26 matches, and in 18 of Bournemouth's 26 fixtures
The London Stadium has recently guaranteed goals, with an average of 3.2 goals and both teams scoring in the last 5 matches
Head-to-Head
In the last 5 head-to-head encounters, there has been 1 win for West Ham, no wins for Bournemouth, and 4 draws
The goal difference is 7-6 in favor of West Ham
The last meeting ended in a 2-2 draw
Key Players
Jarrod Bowen (8 goals, 3 assists), Crysencio Summerville (4 goals, 1 assist), and Mateus Fernandes (3 goals, 3 assists) are key figures for West Ham
For Bournemouth, hopes are pinned on Eli Kroupi (8 goals, 0 assists), Evanilson (5 goals, 0 assists), and Amine Adli (3 goals, 1 assist)
Goalkeepers
West Ham's goalkeeper Mads Hermansen has kept 2 clean sheets this season
His counterpart, Djordje Petrovic of Bournemouth, has 6 clean sheets
Influences
West Ham struggles with a weak defense at home, conceding an average of 1.93 goals per game
Bournemouth is even more vulnerable on the road, allowing an average of 2.21 goals
The last five matches at the London Stadium have been high-scoring, with an average of 3.2 goals per game and both teams scoring in every match