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Ligue 1

Le Havre - Angers SCO

09/12/2026, 06:45 PM

0 : 0
Expected Goals
Le Havre
1.2
Total xG
2.4
Angers SCO
1.2
Most Likely Scores

1:1

15%

0:0

10%

1:0

9%

0:1

9%

2:1

8%
What influences the xG?
LHAS

Le Havre

Attack weakness (0.75x league average)
-0.32
4 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1 goals/match)
+0.01
Rassoul Ndiaye on the bench (4 goals, 4 assists)
74% of goal output missing (only 18% available)
Strong home record (1.2 vs 1 goals/match)

Angers SCO

Attack weakness (0.69x league average)
-0.44
Rising form (1.2 vs 1 season average)
+0.08
4 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1 goals/match)
+0.01
14% of goal output missing (only 93% available)

League

High-scoring league (3 goals/match)
+0.50
+0.50
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Le Havre: dropped a lead in 3 of 5 games (8 points lost)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

36%

Draw

31%

Away Win

33%

Goals

Over 1.5

72%

Under 1.5

28%

Over 2.5

44%

Under 2.5

56%

Over 3.5

23%

Under 3.5

77%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

67%

Away or Draw

64%

No Draw

69%

Both Score

Yes

51%

No

49%

Key Factors
  • Critical squad impact for Le Havre: Only 19% of seasonal goal threat is active as key player Rassoul Ndiaye (4 goals, 4 assists) is missing
  • Offensive improvement: Angers SCO is scoring more frequently recently (1.3) than their season average (1.0)
  • Highly balanced forecast: Mathematical analysis models a tight game with a 36% home win probability and a 33% away win probability
Risk Factors
  • Vulnerable away defense: Angers SCO concedes an average of 2.15 goals per away match this season
  • Low offensive threat: Angers SCO averaged only 3.4 shots on target per match in recent games
  • Limited data availability for duel statistics in recent matches
Overview

Le Havre hosts Angers SCO at Stade Océane

Ligue 1 match on September 12, 2026, 7:45 PM

Lower-table clash between 16th place and 12th place

Le Havre has 1 point, Angers SCO arrives with 3 points

Form

Le Havre in weak form (LDLDL)

Last match ended in a 1-2 loss against Brest

Home side has 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses in recent matches

Angers SCO shows similar form (LDLWL) with 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Statistics

Le Havre scores an average of 0.94 goals and concedes 1.29

At home, their defense is more stable, conceding 0.86 goals per game

Angers SCO averages 0.85 goals scored and 1.41 conceded

Angers struggles away from home, conceding an average of 2.15 goals per match

Head-to-Head

Even historical record after 4 head-to-head matches

Both teams recorded 1 win each alongside 2 draws

The goal difference is exactly even at 4-4

The last encounter ended 1-1 on April 18, 2026

Key Players

Ally Samatta: 2 goals and 1 assist this season

Simon Ebonog: 1 goal in midfield

Ayumu Seko: Rating of 6.76 in defense

Amine Sbaï: 3 goals and 1 assist in attack

Branco van den Boomen: Rating of 7.06 in midfield

Ousmane Camara: Defensive rating of 6.82

Goalkeepers

Gauthier Gallon starts in goal for Le Havre, a team with 8 clean sheets this season

Anthony Lopes starts for Angers SCO, who have kept 10 clean sheets overall

Influences

The match will be played on natural grass at Stade Océane

The stadium averages 3.0 goals per game

Both teams scored in 60% of matches played at Stade Océane

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