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Ligue 1

Olympique Lyonnais - Rennes

09/19/2026, 06:45 PM

4 : 0
Expected Goals
Olympique Lyonnais
1.4
Total xG
2.9
Rennes
1.5
Most Likely Scores

1:1

13%

1:2

9%

2:1

8%

2:2

6%

0:2

6%
What influences the xG?
OLREN

Olympique Lyonnais

3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.4 goals/match)
-0.11

Rennes

Attack strength (1.23x league average)
+0.26
3 of last 5 matches with 2+ goals (1.6 goals/match)
-0.07
Estéban Lepaul on the bench (20 goals, 5 assists)
Mousa Tamari on the bench (6 goals, 6 assists)
Ludovic Blas on the bench (5 goals, 4 assists)
Sebastian Szymanski not in squad (1 goals, 3 assists)
71% of goal output missing (only 46% available)
Weak away record (1.2 vs 1.8 goals/match)
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Rennes: first goal in 8 of 10 games (80%)

  • 2
    Rennes: 62% of all goals in the first half (15 of 24, last 12 games)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

34%

Draw

27%

Away Win

38%

Goals

Over 1.5

81%

Under 1.5

19%

Over 2.5

56%

Under 2.5

44%

Over 3.5

34%

Under 3.5

66%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

62%

Away or Draw

66%

No Draw

73%

Both Score

Yes

61%

No

39%

Key Factors
  • Only 46% of the goal threat available, without Estéban Lepaul, Mousa Tamari, Ludovic Blas, Sebastian Szymanski
  • Rennes averaged 18.2 shots per game in recent matches
  • Olympique Lyonnais averaged 5.8 shots on target in recent matches
Risk Factors
  • Olympique Lyonnais with only 3 days of rest since their last match
  • Rennes with only 3 days of rest since their last match
  • Rennes concedes an average of 1.94 goals per away game
Overview

Olympique Lyonnais (5th place, 8 points) host Rennes (3rd place, 10 points) at the Groupama Stadium

Ligue 1 clash on September 19, 2026, 8:45 PM

Both teams remain undefeated this season

A crucial match to keep up with the league leaders

Form

Olympique Lyonnais has a form of LDWDW, coming off a win against Anderlecht

Rennes holds a form of DWWWD, drawing their last match against Sturm Graz

Rennes has not lost a single match this season

Olympique Lyonnais has recorded 2 wins and 2 draws in the league

Statistics

Olympique Lyonnais averages 1.58 goals scored and 0.95 goals conceded at home

Rennes concedes an average of 1.94 goals per away game while scoring 1.71

Rennes had 24 matches with over 2.5 goals last season

Olympique Lyonnais kept 15 clean sheets in the previous campaign

Head-to-Head

Balanced record with 2 wins each in 4 head-to-head matches

A goal difference of 9:9 highlights the tight history between them

The last meeting ended in a 4-2 victory for Olympique Lyonnais on May 3, 2026

There has never been a draw between these two teams

Key Players

Corentin Tolisso shines in midfield with 11 goals and 4 assists

Pavel Sulc provides goal threat with 10 goals and 3 assists

Ernest Nuamah showed rising form with 1 goal and 1 assist in recent games

Valentin Rongier is the key playmaker for Rennes with 2 goals and 5 assists

Quentin Merlin contributed 1 goal and 5 assists from defense

Przemyslaw Frankowski recorded 1 goal and 1 assist in recent matches

Goalkeepers

Dominik Greif starts in goal for Olympique Lyonnais, showing stable form

Brice Samba guards the net for Rennes and kept 10 clean sheets in the season

Both goalkeepers have shown reliable performances recently

Influences

Matches at the Groupama Stadium average 3.2 goals per game

Olympique Lyonnais has a solid home record with 1.58 goals scored per game

The match will be played on natural grass

Both teams have to cope with limited recovery time

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