Premier League
Everton - Manchester United
02/23/2026, 08:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.4
3.0
1.6
1:1
12%1:2
9%2:1
8%2:2
6%0:2
6%Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
33%
Draw
27%
Away Win
40%
Goals
Over 1.5
82%
Under 1.5
18%
Over 2.5
59%
Under 2.5
41%
Over 3.5
36%
Under 3.5
64%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
60%
Away or Draw
67%
No Draw
73%
Both Score
Yes
62%
No
38%
Key Factors
- Manchester United is in superior form and shows an improved offense, recently scoring 2.2 goals per game
- United's attacking power meets a weak away defense (1.83 goals conceded per game), suggesting a high-scoring match
- The historical record clearly favors Manchester United, who won 3 of the last 5 duels with a goal difference of 11:3
Risk Factors
- Manchester United has not kept a single clean sheet away from home this season, conceding an average of 1.83 goals
- Everton is missing a key offensive player in J. Grealish (2 goals, 6 assists)
- Manchester United will be without influential defender P. Chinazaekpere Dorgu (3 goals, 3 assists)
- Everton won the last head-to-head encounter, which could give them a psychological advantage
Overview
Everton (9th place, 37 points) host Manchester United (5th place, 45 points) at Hill Dickinson Stadium
Premier League match on February 23, 2026, 8:00 PM
A clash between two teams close in the standings, with the visitors from Manchester considered slight favorites, supported by a 40% win probability
Form
Everton's form: W-D-D-W-L
In the last 5 games, there have been 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss
Manchester United's form: W-W-W-W-D
United are unbeaten in their last 5 games, winning 4 of them
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Statistics
Manchester United has the more dangerous attack, averaging 1.81 goals per game compared to Everton's 1.12
Defensively, Everton is statistically more stable with 1.15 goals conceded per game than United (1.42)
United is particularly vulnerable away, conceding an average of 1.83 goals
Matches involving Manchester United tend to have more goals, with both teams scoring in 19 of 26 games
Head-to-Head
In the last 5 head-to-head encounters, Manchester United were superior with 3 wins, while Everton won 1 match and 1 game ended in a draw
The goal difference is clearly in favor of Manchester United at 11:3
However, Everton won the last meeting 1-0
Key Players
Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall is a key figure in Everton's midfield with 5 season goals and 2 assists
Iliman Ndiaye has also contributed 5 goals and 2 assists
James Garner is a consistently strong performer with an average rating of 7.38
For Manchester United, Bruno Fernandes is the pivotal player with 6 goals and an impressive 12 assists
Bryan Mbeumo is the team's top scorer with 9 goals
Matheus Cunha has already scored 6 goals and provided 2 assists this season
Goalkeepers
Everton's goalkeeper Jordan Pickford has kept 9 clean sheets in 26 games this season
Senne Lammens of Manchester United has kept a clean sheet 4 times in 20 appearances
Influences
Everton's home record is mixed, with 1.14 goals scored and 1.29 conceded per game
An average of 3.0 goals are scored per game at Hill Dickinson Stadium
In Everton's last 5 home games, both teams have always scored, which supports a high BTTS probability of 62% for this match