Premier League
Liverpool - West Ham United
02/28/2026, 03:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.8
2.5
0.7
2:0
13%1:1
12%2:1
9%3:0
8%3:1
6%What influences the xG?
Liverpool
West Ham United
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
61%
Draw
25%
Away Win
14%
Goals
Over 1.5
73%
Under 1.5
27%
Over 2.5
46%
Under 2.5
54%
Over 3.5
24%
Under 3.5
76%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
87%
Away or Draw
39%
No Draw
75%
Both Score
Yes
44%
No
56%
Key Factors
- League table gap: Liverpool (6th) is fighting for Europe, while West Ham (18th) is in a relegation battle
- Home advantage and H2H dominance: Liverpool is very strong at home (only 1.0 goals conceded/game) and has won the last 4 encounters against West Ham
- Strong form trend: Liverpool is on a 3-game winning streak, giving them significant confidence, supported by a 61% win probability from the model
Risk Factors
- Liverpool's injury concerns: The absence of key players like midfielder Florian Wirtz (4 goals, 2 assists) could impact their attack
- West Ham's resilience: The visitors are unbeaten in four games, showing they are resilient in the relegation battle
- Improved visitor attack: West Ham is currently scoring more frequently (1.5 goals/game) than their season average (1.19)
Overview
Liverpool (6th place, 45 points) host West Ham United (18th place, 25 points) at Anfield
Premier League match on February 28, 2026, 4:00 PM
Liverpool is fighting for a European spot, while West Ham is in a relegation battle
Form
Liverpool's form: WLWWW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
The team has won 4 of their last 5 matches and is on a 3-game winning streak
West Ham United's form: LWDWD
The visitors are unbeaten in their last four games, with 2 wins and 2 draws in the last 5 matches
Statistics
Liverpool scores an average of 1.56 goals per game (1.50 at home)
West Ham United averages 1.19 goals per game (1.15 away)
Defensively, Liverpool is more stable, conceding 1.30 goals per game, while West Ham concedes 1.81
The last 5 matches at Anfield have seen an average of 3.8 goals per game
Head-to-Head
In the last 5 head-to-head encounters, Liverpool has been clearly dominant
The home team won 4 times, with one draw and no losses
The goal difference is 16:4 in favor of Liverpool
Liverpool has won the last four meetings in a row
Key Players
For Liverpool, all eyes are on Hugo Ekitiké (10 season goals) and Mohamed Salah (6 season assists)
Dominik Szoboszlai is also in rising form with 4 goals and 2 assists
For West Ham, Jarrod Bowen is the most important attacker with 8 season goals
Crysencio Summerville (4 goals) and Mateus Fernandes (3 goals, 3 assists) are other key players for the visitors
Goalkeepers
In goal for Liverpool is Alisson, who has kept 9 clean sheets this season
Mads Hermansen is expected in goal for West Ham
West Ham as a team has kept a total of 3 clean sheets this season
Influences
Liverpool enjoys a clear home advantage at Anfield, where they concede an average of only 1.0 goal per game
Recent matches at the stadium have been very high-scoring, with an average of 3.8 goals per match and an 80% Over 2.5 rate
This offensive strength at home could be a decisive factor