Premier League
Wolverhampton Wanderers - Liverpool
03/03/2026, 08:15 PM
Expected Goals
0.8
2.2
1.3
1:1
14%0:1
14%0:0
13%0:2
10%1:2
9%What influences the xG?
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Liverpool
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
21%
Draw
31%
Away Win
47%
Goals
Over 1.5
65%
Under 1.5
35%
Over 2.5
37%
Under 2.5
63%
Over 3.5
17%
Under 3.5
83%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
53%
Away or Draw
79%
No Draw
69%
Both Score
Yes
43%
No
57%
Key Factors
- Difference in class: Fifth-placed Liverpool is superior to bottom-of-the-table Wolverhampton in all aspects, from attack (1.68 vs 0.69 goals/game) to defense
- Form and Head-to-Head: Liverpool arrives with four consecutive wins and has won all of the last five encounters against Wolves
- Statistical probability: The mathematical model clearly favors Liverpool with a 47% win probability and predicts more goals for the visitors (1.34 to 0.83)
Risk Factors
- Potential fatigue for Liverpool: The visitors have had only three days of rest since their last match, which could lead to exhaustion
- Key absence: Liverpool will be without injured midfielder Florian Wirtz (4 goals, 2 assists), which could impact their creativity
Overview
Wolverhampton Wanderers, last in the table with 13 points, host fifth-placed Liverpool with 48 points at Molineux Stadium
Premier League match on March 3, 2026, 8:15 PM
This is a clash of extremes, with Wolves desperately needing points to avoid relegation, while Liverpool targets the European spots
Form
Wolverhampton Wanderers form: DWDLW
In the last 5 matches, they have 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss
Liverpool form: LWWWW
The visitors are in excellent form with 4 wins from their last 5 matches and are on a 4-game winning streak
Statistics
The Wolves' attack is the weakest in the league with only 20 goals in 29 season matches (0.69 avg)
Liverpool scores an average of 1.68 goals per game
Defensively, Wolves are also vulnerable, conceding an average of 1.76 goals per game, compared to Liverpool's 1.32
Wolves have failed to score in 15 of their 29 matches
Head-to-Head
Liverpool has completely dominated the last 5 head-to-head encounters
The Reds won all 5 matches against Wolves
The goal difference is also clearly in Liverpool's favor at 11:4
The last meeting ended in a 2-1 victory for Liverpool
Key Players
For Wolves, defenders Ladislav Krejci and Santiago Bueno, as well as midfielder Mateus Mané, have each scored 2 league goals this season
Liverpool's attack relies on Hugo Ekitiké with 11 goals and 4 assists
Mohamed Salah (4 goals, 6 assists) and Dominik Szoboszlai (4 goals, 3 assists) are other key players
Goalkeepers
In goal for Wolves is José Sá, who has kept 4 clean sheets this season
For Liverpool, Alisson is in goal, having already kept a clean sheet 9 times
According to the data, both goalkeepers are showing a rising form trend
Influences
Wolves have a poor record at home, scoring an average of only 0.68 goals per game
However, they concede significantly fewer goals at Molineux Stadium with 1.36, compared to away games
The last 5 matches at the stadium have averaged 2.4 goals