Premier League
Fulham - West Ham United
03/04/2026, 07:30 PM
Expected Goals
1.9
3.4
1.4
1:1
11%2:1
9%1:2
7%2:2
7%2:0
6%What influences the xG?
Fulham
West Ham United
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
48%
Draw
24%
Away Win
27%
Goals
Over 1.5
86%
Under 1.5
14%
Over 2.5
66%
Under 2.5
34%
Over 3.5
44%
Under 3.5
56%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
73%
Away or Draw
52%
No Draw
76%
Both Score
Yes
66%
No
34%
Key Factors
- Strong home advantage for Fulham, who concede only 1.0 goal per game at home, meets West Ham's extreme away weakness with 1.93 goals conceded per game
- The form curve clearly favors Fulham, who come into the match with three consecutive wins, while West Ham lost their last game
- The historical record favors Fulham, who won 3 of the last 5 duels with a goal difference of 11:4
Risk Factors
- Fulham has to cope without important offensive players, leaving only 65% of their usual goal threat available
- With only three days of rest since the last match, the short recovery time could be a factor for Fulham
Overview
Fulham (10th place, 40 points) host West Ham United (18th place, 25 points) on March 4, 2026, 8:30 PM at Craven Cottage
It's a clash between a mid-table team and a relegation candidate
The mathematical analysis favors Fulham with a win probability of 48%
Form
Fulham's form across all competitions: LLWWW
This means 3 wins and 2 losses from the last five games
The team is on a clear upward trend with three consecutive wins
West Ham's form across all competitions: WDWDL
The visitors have won 2 of their last five games, with 2 draws and 1 loss
Their run recently ended with a defeat
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Statistics
Fulham scores an average of 1.43 goals per game this season and concedes 1.5
At home, they are more stable, conceding an average of just 1.0 goal
West Ham United has one of the weakest defenses in the league, conceding 1.93 goals per game, especially away (1.93)
In the last five games at Craven Cottage, there has been an average of 3.2 goals, with both teams scoring and over 2.5 goals in every match
Head-to-Head
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fulham was the more successful team
They managed to win 3 games, while West Ham won only once, and one match ended in a draw
The goal difference is clearly in Fulham's favor at 11:4
The last encounter was won by Fulham with a score of 1:0
Key Players
For Fulham, RaĂșl JimĂ©nez (8 goals, 3 assists), Samuel Chukwueze (3 goals, 4 assists), and Alex Iwobi (4 goals, 3 assists) are the key players in attack
For West Ham, Jarrod Bowen (8 goals, 4 assists), Crysencio Summerville (4 goals, 1 assist), and TomĂĄĆĄ SouÄek (4 goals) are the most important goalscorers
Goalkeepers
In goal for Fulham is Bernd Leno, who has kept 5 clean sheets this season
West Ham's goal will be defended by Mads Hermansen
The West Ham team has kept 3 clean sheets so far this season
Influences
Fulham enjoys a clear home advantage, reflected in conceding only 1.0 goal per home game
West Ham's glaring away weakness, with 1.93 goals conceded per game, is a decisive factor
The statistics for Craven Cottage suggest a high-scoring game, as in the last five matches there, both teams have always scored and there have been over 2.5 goals