Premier League
Brentford - Wolverhampton Wanderers
03/16/2026, 08:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.4
2.2
0.8
1:1
14%1:0
14%0:0
12%2:0
11%2:1
9%What influences the xG?
Brentford
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
49%
Draw
31%
Away Win
20%
Goals
Over 1.5
67%
Under 1.5
33%
Over 2.5
38%
Under 2.5
62%
Over 3.5
19%
Under 3.5
81%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
80%
Away or Draw
51%
No Draw
69%
Both Score
Yes
44%
No
56%
Key Factors
- Favorites: Mathematical analysis predicts a home win with 49% probability for Brentford
- Matchup Advantage: Brentford's home strength (Avg. 1.50 home goals) meets the Wanderers' vulnerable away defense (Avg. 3.00 goals conceded)
- Head-to-Head Dominance: Brentford has held the upper hand in the last five encounters, winning three of them
Risk Factors
- Away Weakness: Wolverhampton Wanderers concede an average of 3.00 goals per away game
- Low Goal Threat: Wolverhampton Wanderers average only 3.4 shots on target per game
Overview
Brentford (7th place, 44 points) host Wolverhampton Wanderers (20th place, 16 points) at the Gtech Community Stadium
Premier League match on March 16, 2026, 8:00 PM
Brentford are vying for higher league positions, while the Wanderers are fighting against relegation
Form
Brentford's form in the last five games is WLWDD (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
This includes 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with the last two games ending in draws
Wolverhampton Wanderers have a form of DLWWL in their last five matches
This equates to 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with the last result being a loss
Brentford consistently scores (~1.7 goals per game)
Wolverhampton Wanderers are currently scoring more frequently (1.4) than their season average (1.0)
Statistics
Brentford averages 1.52 goals scored per game and concedes 1.38 goals
At home, they score 1.50 goals and concede 0.94 goals per home game
They kept 7 clean sheets and both teams scored in 15 matches
Wolverhampton Wanderers average 0.73 goals scored per game and concede 1.73 goals
Away from home, they score 0.71 goals and concede 3.00 goals per away game
They kept 4 clean sheets and both teams scored in 13 matches
The Gtech Community Stadium sees an average of 1.8 total goals per game
Both teams scored in 1 out of 5 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 1 out of 5 games
Head-to-Head
In 5 head-to-head matches, Brentford recorded 3 wins and Wolverhampton Wanderers had 1 win
One match ended in a draw
Brentford scored a total of 12 goals, while Wolverhampton Wanderers scored 7 goals
Brentford won the last encounter 2-0 on December 20, 2025
Brentford has been more dominant in recent matchups
Key Players
For Brentford, Igor Thiago (18 goals, 1 assist, avg rating 7.11) and Kevin Schade (7 goals, 3 assists, avg rating 6.85) are key attacking players
Keane Lewis-Potter shows a rising form trend with 1 goal in the last 5 games
Yegor Yarmolyuk (1 goal, 2 assists) is not in the nominated squad
For Wolverhampton Wanderers, Mateus Mané (2 goals, 1 assist) and Ladislav Krejci (2 goals, 1 assist) are relevant players
Santiago Bueno (2 goals, 1 assist) also contributes to the team
Goalkeepers
Brentford's goalkeeper CaoimhĂn Kelleher played in 28 league games this season
The team recorded 7 clean sheets this season
José Så is the goalkeeper for Wolverhampton Wanderers and has featured in 18 games
His team registered 4 clean sheets
Influences
The Gtech Community Stadium is Brentford's home ground with a grass surface
Brentford scores an average of 1.50 goals at home and concedes 0.94 goals
The stadium records an average of 1.8 goals per game
Both teams scored in 1 out of 5 matches
More than 2.5 goals were scored in 1 out of 5 matches