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Liga MX

Pachuca - Querétaro

07/27/2026, 01:06 AM

1 : 2
Expected Goals
Pachuca
1.1
Total xG
1.8
Querétaro
0.7
Most Likely Scores

0:0

18%

1:0

16%

1:1

14%

2:0

10%

0:1

10%
What influences the xG?
PACQUE

Pachuca

4 clean sheets in last 5 matches
-0.15
Defensive strength (1.1 conceded vs 1.2 league avg)
-0.12
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.4 goals/match)
-0.02
Víctor Alfonso Guzmán Guzmán not in squad (5 goals, 8 assists)
Enner Valencia not in squad (8 goals, 1 assists)
Brian García not in squad (1 goals, 4 assists)
25% of goal output missing (only 66% available)

Querétaro

Attack weakness (0.49x league average)
-1.11
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.4 goals/match)
+0.08
Rising form (1.4 vs 1.1 season average)
+0.08
Weak away record (0.7 vs 1.1 goals/match)
Full strength squad available
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Querétaro with Jean Unjanque: 1.3 goals/game. Without: 0.5 goals/game (6 of 8 games)

  • 2
    Querétaro: 5 of 8 games without conceding in H1, but only 2 over 90 minutes

  • 3
    Querétaro: scored only after the break in 3 of 8 games

  • 4
    Pachuca with Brian García: 1.2 goals/game. Without: 2 goals/game (6 of 8 games)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

44%

Draw

35%

Away Win

21%

Goals

Over 1.5

57%

Under 1.5

43%

Over 2.5

28%

Under 2.5

72%

Over 3.5

12%

Under 3.5

88%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

79%

Away or Draw

56%

No Draw

65%

Both Score

Yes

36%

No

64%

Key Factors
  • Pachuca averaged 4.4 shots on target in recent matches with a counter-oriented style
  • Querétaro averaged 1.4 goals in recent matches, hitting the net more frequently than their season average of 1.1
  • The mathematical analysis favors Pachuca with a 44% probability of a home win
Risk Factors
  • Pachuca is missing Víctor Alfonso Guzmán Guzmán, Enner Valencia, and Brian García, leaving only 67% of their usual goal threat available
  • Querétaro concedes an average of 2.5 goals in away matches
Overview

Pachuca hosts Querétaro at the Estadio Hidalgo

Liga MX match on July 27, 2026, 3:06 AM

Pachuca is in 5th place with 3 points, Querétaro sits in 15th place

The home side enters this clash as the favorite

Form

Pachuca has 4 wins and 1 loss from their recent matches (WWWLW)

Their last match was a convincing 3-0 victory against Pumas UNAM

Querétaro registered 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss (WDDWL)

The visitors recently suffered a narrow 0-1 defeat against América

Statistics

Pachuca averages 1.35 goals scored and 1.1 goals conceded per match

Querétaro averages 1.06 goals scored and 1.47 goals conceded

The visitors struggle significantly away from home, conceding an average of 2.5 goals

Pachuca's home record stands at a solid 1.38 goals scored per game

Head-to-Head

Balanced head-to-head record with 1 win each and 2 draws in 4 encounters

The last meeting on February 1, 2026, ended in a goalless 0-0 draw

Pachuca scored 2 goals in these duels, while Querétaro scored 3 times

No historical dominance is visible between the teams

Key Players

Kenedy is Pachuca's most dangerous attacker with 9 goals this season

Salomón Rondón contributed 5 goals so far during this campaign

Oussama Idrissi has registered 6 goals and 3 assists

Alí Ávila leads the visitors with 11 goals this season

Santiago Homenchenko convinces defensively and offensively with 6 goals

Mateo Coronel has scored 5 goals so far

Goalkeepers

Carlos Agustín Moreno Luna appeared in 39 matches, keeping 10 clean sheets

On the other side, Guillermo Allison guards the goal for Querétaro

The visitors kept a total of 8 clean sheets this season

Influences

Pachuca benefits from home strength at Estadio Hidalgo, conceding only 0.90 goals per match

The stadium history shows an average of 2.6 goals per game

The match will be played on natural grass

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