Premier League
Nottingham Forest - Fulham
03/15/2026, 02:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.0
2.7
1.7
1:1
13%1:2
10%0:2
10%2:1
6%1:3
5%What influences the xG?
Nottingham Forest
Fulham
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
21%
Draw
27%
Away Win
52%
Goals
Over 1.5
76%
Under 1.5
24%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
50%
Over 3.5
28%
Under 3.5
72%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
48%
Away or Draw
79%
No Draw
73%
Both Score
Yes
53%
No
47%
Key Factors
- The mathematical analysis predicts an away win for Fulham with 52%, with 1.67 expected goals compared to 1.00 for Forest
- Fulham is significantly higher in the league table (12th place vs 18th place) and shows better form (3 wins vs 0 wins in the last 5 games)
- Fulham has dominated the historical head-to-head encounters, winning 4 of the last 5 direct duels
Risk Factors
- Nottingham Forest has only 3 days of rest since their last match
- Fulham concedes an average of 2.08 goals per away game
- Nottingham Forest's goal production is currently stagnating (1.0) compared to their season average (1.4)
Overview
Nottingham Forest (18th place, 28 points) host Fulham (12th place, 40 points) at The City Ground
Premier League match on March 15, 2026, 3:00 PM
Fulham aims for further improvement in the standings, while Forest needs points in the relegation battle
Form
Nottingham Forest showed form LLLDL in their last five games, meaning 0 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses
The team's recent record is negative with a loss in the last game
Fulham's form in their last five matches is WWWLL, consisting of 3 wins and 2 losses
The last two games were lost, indicating a decline in form
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
Nottingham Forest scores an average of 0.97 goals per game and concedes 1.48 goals
In home games, they score 1.0 goal and concede 1.46 goals per match
Fulham scores an average of 1.38 goals per game and concedes 1.48 goals
Away from home, Fulham scores 1.33 goals and concedes 2.08 goals per match
At The City Ground, an average of 1.4 goals per game were scored in the last five matches
Both teams scored in two out of five games (40% BTTS rate), and only one game had over 2.5 goals (20% Over 2.5 rate)
Head-to-Head
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nottingham Forest recorded 1 win and Fulham 4 wins, with no draws
Nottingham Forest scored 4 goals, while Fulham scored 10 goals
The last encounter was won by Fulham away with a 1-0 score on December 22, 2025
Fulham has dominated recent matchups
Key Players
For Nottingham Forest, Morgan Gibbs-White has 8 season goals and 2 assists with an average rating of 6.96
Callum Hudson-Odoi contributed 3 goals and 2 assists, his form is rising with a rating of 7.93 in the last 5 games
Elliot Anderson scored 2 goals and 2 assists with an average rating of 7.27 this season
Not nominated for Forest is Omari Hutchinson (1T/3A)
For Fulham, Harry Wilson is a key player with 9 goals and 6 assists and an average rating of 7.19
RaĂșl JimĂ©nez has 8 goals and 3 assists, Alex Iwobi has 4 goals and 3 assists
Not nominated for Fulham are Samuel Chukwueze (3T/4A), Ryan Sessegnon (2T/1A), Emile Smith Rowe (3T/0A)
Goalkeepers
Matz Sels is the goalkeeper for Nottingham Forest, with 0 goals and 0 assists in 22 season appearances
Bernd Leno is the goalkeeper for Fulham, with 29 season appearances, 0 goals and 0 assists
Nottingham Forest recorded 6 clean sheets this season, while Fulham achieved 5 clean sheets
Influences
Nottingham Forest scored an average of 1.0 goals in home games and conceded 1.46 goals
Fulham conceded an average of 2.08 goals away but scored 1.33 goals
The grass surface at The City Ground will be the playing ground
At The City Ground, the average is 1.4 goals per game, BTTS rate at 40%, and Over 2.5 rate at 20%