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Liga MX

León - Monterrey

08/22/2026, 01:00 AM

2 : 0
Expected Goals
León
1.3
Total xG
2.6
Monterrey
1.3
Most Likely Scores

1:1

14%

2:1

8%

1:2

8%

2:0

6%

0:2

6%
What influences the xG?
LEÓMON

León

Standings disadvantage (pos 17 vs 5, 12 places gap)
-0.18
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.2 goals/match)
+0.03
Ismael Díaz on the bench (10 goals, 6 assists)
Iván Moreno on the bench (1 goals, 5 assists)
Salvador Reyes on the bench (0 goals, 2 assists)
Strong home record (1.5 vs 1.1 goals/match)

Monterrey

3 of last 5 matches with 2+ goals (2.4 goals/match)
+0.19
Rising form (2.4 vs 1.8 season average)
+0.19
Standings advantage (pos 5 vs 17, 12 places gap)
+0.07
Óliver Torres on the bench (2 goals, 8 assists)
Luca Orellano on the bench (3 goals, 4 assists)
Weak away record (1.2 vs 1.8 goals/match)

League

High-scoring league (2.9 goals/match)
+0.36
+0.36
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Monterrey with Carlos Salcedo: 1 goals/game. Without: 4.5 goals/game (6 of 8 games)

  • 2
    Monterrey: 5 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)

  • 3
    León: 4 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)

  • 4
    Monterrey: 71% of xG value comes in the first half (last 8 games with xG data)

  • 5
    León: 5 of 8 games without conceding in H1, but only 2 over 90 minutes

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

37%

Draw

29%

Away Win

34%

Goals

Over 1.5

76%

Under 1.5

24%

Over 2.5

49%

Under 2.5

51%

Over 3.5

27%

Under 3.5

73%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

66%

Away or Draw

63%

No Draw

71%

Both Score

Yes

55%

No

45%

Key Factors
  • Historical dominance: Monterrey won all 4 previous head-to-head matches against León
  • Monterrey averaged 6.2 shots on target in recent matches
  • León averaged 5.6 shots on target in recent matches
Risk Factors
  • Monterrey concede an average of 2.06 goals per away match
  • León conceded an average of 1.85 goals per game this season
  • Limited data regarding weather conditions
Overview

León host Monterrey at the Estadio León

Liga MX match on August 22, 2026, 2:00 AM

León currently sit in 11th place with 6 points

Monterrey travel as the 3rd-placed team with 9 points

Both teams compete for crucial points in the Liga MX standings

Form

León's current form is LLLWW

The hosts recorded 2 wins and 3 losses in their recent matches

Monterrey enter the match with a form of LWLWW

The visitors secured 3 wins and 2 losses lately

Both sides won their last two matches consecutively

Statistics

León score an average of 1.06 goals and concede 1.85 goals per game this season

In home games, León concede an average of 1.04 goals

Monterrey average 1.61 goals scored and 1.53 goals conceded

On the road, Monterrey concede an average of 2.06 goals per match

Both teams scored in 18 of León's matches and 20 of Monterrey's matches

Head-to-Head

There have been 4 head-to-head matches between the teams

Monterrey clearly dominate the record with 4 wins

León are yet to win a direct matchup

The goal difference stands at 2:8 against León

The last encounter on February 15, 2026, ended in a 1:0 victory for Monterrey

Key Players

Díber Cambindo has scored 8 goals and provided 2 assists in 17 season appearances

Daniel Arcila has registered 4 goals in 21 games this season

Jordi Cortizo contributed 1 assist in 25 appearances

Lucas Ocampos shines for the visitors with 7 goals and 6 assists in 28 matches

Jesús Corona recorded 4 goals and 4 assists in 31 games

Jorge Rodríguez scored 1 goal in 29 games this season

Not nominated for León: Ismael Díaz (10T/6A), Iván Moreno (1T/5A), Salvador Reyes (0T/2A)

Not nominated for Monterrey: Óliver Torres (2T/8A), Luca Orellano (3T/4A)

Goalkeepers

Óscar García played 28 season matches in goal for León with a 6.96 rating

Luis Cárdenas guarded the net for Monterrey in 21 games with a 6.99 rating

Óscar García averaged a rating of 7.14 over his last 4 matches

Luis Cárdenas averaged a rating of 6.81 over his recent 4 matches

Influences

León's home advantage is reflected in their average of 1.04 home goals scored

Matches at the Estadio León produce an average of 3.4 goals per game

Both teams scored in 60% of the last 5 matches played at the Estadio León

Over 2.5 goals were scored in 60% of those games

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