Premier League
West Ham United - Manchester City
03/14/2026, 08:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.2
3.0
1.8
1:1
12%1:2
10%0:2
8%2:1
6%2:2
6%What influences the xG?
West Ham United
Manchester City
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
24%
Draw
26%
Away Win
50%
Goals
Over 1.5
81%
Under 1.5
19%
Over 2.5
57%
Under 2.5
43%
Over 3.5
35%
Under 3.5
65%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
50%
Away or Draw
76%
No Draw
74%
Both Score
Yes
60%
No
41%
Key Factors
- Pipeline prediction: Manchester City has a 50% win probability
- Historical dominance: Manchester City has won all 5 head-to-head encounters
- Form and table position: Man City (2nd place) with strong offense (Avg. 2.03 goals) meets West Ham (18th place) with vulnerable defense (Avg. 1.86 goals conceded)
Risk Factors
- Manchester City has only 3 days of rest since their last match
- West Ham United shows a positive form trend
- Manchester City's goal production is currently stagnant (1.6 goals), with a season average of 2.2
Overview
West Ham United (18th place, 28 points) host Manchester City (2nd place, 60 points) at the London Stadium
Premier League match on March 14, 2026, 9:00 PM
The Hammers are battling against relegation, while Manchester City are chasing Arsenal (1st place, 67 points) at the top of the table
The mathematical analysis sees Manchester City as the clear favorite for this match with a 50% win probability
Form
West Ham United currently shows the form W-D-L-W-D (2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss)
The home team's current form is described as positive
Manchester City's form is W-W-D-W-L (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss) across all competitions
The away team's current form is rated as negative
Statistics
West Ham United has scored an average of 1.21 goals and conceded 1.86 goals per game this season
Their home record shows 1.21 goals scored and 1.93 goals conceded at their own stadium
Manchester City has a season average of 2.03 goals per game and conceded 0.93 goals
Away from home, Manchester City scored an average of 2.09 goals and conceded 1.45 goals
The home team kept 4 clean sheets, while the away team achieved 12 clean sheets
Manchester City's goal production is currently stagnant at 1.6 goals, with a season average of 2.2
West Ham United is currently scoring more frequently (1.5 goals) than their season average (1.3 goals)
The London Stadium averages 2.6 goals per game
In 4 out of 5 games at the London Stadium, both teams scored, and in 3 out of 5 games, over 2.5 goals were scored
Head-to-Head
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Manchester City completely dominated
Manchester City won all 5 encounters against West Ham United
The goal difference in these matches is 4:16 in favor of Manchester City
The last meeting on December 20, 2025, ended with a 3-0 victory for Manchester City
Manchester City was clearly the dominant team in recent encounters
Key Players
For West Ham United, Jarrod Bowen is an important attacker with 8 season goals and 5 assists, his form is stable
TomĆ”Å” SouÄek shows rising form with 4 goals and 0 assists, scoring 1 goal in his last 5 games
Mateus Fernandes contributed 3 goals and 3 assists, his form is stable
On Manchester City's side, Erling Haaland is the top attacker with 22 season goals and 7 assists, his form is rising with 2 goals and 1 assist in the last 5 games
Antoine Semenyo contributed 5 goals and 1 assist, but did not play in the last 5 matches
Nico O'Reilly scored 4 season goals and 3 assists, his form is rising and he scored 1 goal in his last 5 games
Goalkeepers
West Ham United's goalkeeper Mads Hermansen has played in 9 games
Manchester City's goalkeeper Gianluigi Donnarumma has made 26 appearances
The home team achieved 4 clean sheets this season
The away team kept a clean sheet in 12 games
Influences
Manchester City is offensively strong away from home with an average of 2.09 goals per game
West Ham United concedes an average of 1.93 home goals per game at the London Stadium
The London Stadium tends to favor high-scoring games with an average of 2.6 goals per match
In 80% of games at the London Stadium, both teams score, and in 60%, over 2.5 goals are scored