Liga MX
Santos Laguna - Juárez
09/14/2026, 01:00 AM
Expected Goals
1.5
2.5
1.0
1:1
14%2:1
9%2:0
9%1:2
6%2:2
5%What influences the xG?
Santos Laguna
Juárez
League
The Lab
- 1Juárez: opponent scores first in 9 of 12 games (75%)
- 2Juárez: 60% of all goals between minutes 31-45 (6 of 10)
- 3Santos Laguna: opponent scores first in 8 of 11 games (73%)
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
47%
Draw
29%
Away Win
24%
Goals
Over 1.5
73%
Under 1.5
27%
Over 2.5
46%
Under 2.5
54%
Over 3.5
24%
Under 3.5
76%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
76%
Away or Draw
53%
No Draw
71%
Both Score
Yes
51%
No
49%
Key Factors
- Away defensive vulnerability: Juárez recently conceded an average of 3.8 goals per match
- Low offensive threat: Santos Laguna averaged 2.8 shots on target in recent matches, while Juárez averaged 2.0
- Mathematical bias: The model calculates a 47% probability for a home win for Santos Laguna
Risk Factors
- Limited attacking threat: Santos Laguna averaged only 2.8 shots on target in recent matches
- Away defensive weakness: Juárez concedes an average of 2.25 goals per away game this season
- Weakened scoring rate: Santos Laguna averages only 0.5 goals per match in recent games compared to 1.15 on season
Overview
Santos Laguna (17th place, 1 point) host Juárez (18th place, 0 points) at Estadio Nuevo Corona
Liga MX match on September 14, 2026, 1:00 AM UTC
A bottom-of-the-table clash between two struggling sides
Form
Santos Laguna form: LLLDL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Recent results show 0 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses
Juárez form: LLLLL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Recent results show 0 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses
Both teams are in a deep competitive crisis
Statistics
Santos Laguna scores an average of 1.24 goals per game and concedes 1.94 goals
Home record: 1.25 goals scored and 1.1 goals conceded per match
Juárez averages 1.5 goals scored and concedes 1.74 goals per game
The away side concedes an average of 2.25 goals and scores 1.5 goals in away matches
Santos Laguna recorded 6 clean sheets so far this season
Head-to-Head
4 head-to-head matches in history
Juárez leads with 3 wins to 0 wins for Santos Laguna, with 1 draw
The last direct encounter ended in a 2-2 draw on January 18, 2026
Overall goal difference of 3:7 in favor of Juárez
Key Players
Ezequiel Bullaude with one goal in the last 5 matches and a season average rating of 6.97
Fran Villalba records an average rating of 6.98 and contributed one assist
Felipe Sánchez strengthens the defense with an average rating of 6.96
José Luis Rodríguez contributed 1 goal and 2 assists in the last 5 games with a rating of 6.87
Óscar Estupiñán scored 2 goals in the last 5 matches with a rating of 6.64
Jairo Torres provided one assist and holds an average rating of 6.65
Goalkeepers
Carlos Acevedo in goal for Santos Laguna holds an average rating of 7.39
Sebastián Jurado guards the goal for Juárez with an average rating of 6.79
Santos Laguna recorded 6 clean sheets this season, compared to 3 for Juárez
Influences
Home advantage for Santos Laguna at Estadio Nuevo Corona on a grass surface
Historical goal average at this venue stands at 1.2 goals per match
There was not a single match where both teams scored in the last 5 games at this stadium