Premier League
Wolverhampton Wanderers - Arsenal
02/18/2026, 08:00 PM
Expected Goals
0.7
2.7
1.9
0:2
13%1:1
11%1:2
10%0:3
8%1:3
6%Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
12%
Draw
24%
Away Win
64%
Goals
Over 1.5
76%
Under 1.5
24%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
50%
Over 3.5
28%
Under 3.5
72%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
36%
Away or Draw
88%
No Draw
76%
Both Score
Yes
46%
No
54%
Key Factors
- Difference in class: The league leader meets the bottom team, the quality gap is enormous
- Form trends: Arsenal is unbeaten in 5 games, while Wolves have only won one of their last 5 matches
- Offense vs. Defense: Arsenal's strong attack (1.92 goals/game) meets Wolves' vulnerable defense (1.85 goals conceded/game)
Risk Factors
- Arsenal will be without key midfielders such as Mikel Merino and Martin Ødegaard
- Both teams have only had a three-day break since their last match, which could lead to fatigue
- Wolves' offense is further weakened, with only 63% of their seasonal goal threat on the pitch
Overview
League leaders Arsenal (1st place, 57 points) visit Wolverhampton Wanderers (20th place, 9 points) at Molineux Stadium
Premier League match on February 18, 2026, 8:00 PM
A clash of extremes between the top of the table and the bottom, with mathematical models considering Arsenal clear favorites with a 64% probability of winning
Form
Wolverhampton Wanderers form: LLLDW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Wolves have won only one of their last 5 matches (1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses)
Arsenal form: WWWDW
Arsenal are unbeaten in their last 5 games, securing 4 wins and 1 draw
Statistics
With 50 goals scored, Arsenal has one of the best offenses in the league and the best defense with only 18 goals conceded
Wolverhampton Wanderers have the weakest attack with only 16 goals this season and are very vulnerable defensively with 48 goals conceded
On average, Arsenal scores 1.9 goals per away game, while Wolves manage only 0.61 goals at home
Wolves failed to score in 14 of their 26 league matches
Head-to-Head
Arsenal have won all of the last 5 head-to-head encounters against Wolverhampton Wanderers
The goal difference from these matches is 9-2 in favor of Arsenal
The last meeting also ended in a 2-1 victory for the Londoners
Key Players
For Wolves, Mateus Mané (2 goals, 1 assist) and defender Ladislav Krejci (2 goals, 1 assist) are key players
Defender Santiago Bueno has also scored 2 goals this season
Arsenal's attack is led by Viktor Gyökeres, who is in outstanding form with 8 seasonal goals and 4 goals in the last 5 games
From midfield, Declan Rice (4 goals, 3 assists) and Martín Zubimendi (5 goals) provide a goal threat
Not in squad: Mikel Merino (4 goals/3 assists), Martin Ødegaard (1 goal/4 assists)
Goalkeepers
José Sá is in goal for Wolverhampton Wanderers
David Raya guards the goal for Arsenal
This season, Arsenal has kept a clean sheet in 13 out of 26 matches, while Wolves have managed this only 3 times
Influences
Wolves have a poor record at their own stadium, with only 0.61 goals scored and 1.56 goals conceded per home game
Arsenal has been very strong on the road, averaging 1.9 goals per away match
Recent games at Molineux Stadium have often been entertaining, with an average of 3.2 goals per game