Premier League
AFC Bournemouth - Manchester United
03/20/2026, 08:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.3
2.6
1.3
1:1
14%1:2
8%2:1
8%0:2
7%2:0
6%What influences the xG?
AFC Bournemouth
Manchester United
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
33%
Draw
30%
Away Win
37%
Goals
Over 1.5
75%
Under 1.5
25%
Over 2.5
48%
Under 2.5
52%
Over 3.5
26%
Under 3.5
74%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
63%
Away or Draw
67%
No Draw
70%
Both Score
Yes
55%
No
45%
Key Factors
- League Position: Manchester United (3rd place) is significantly ahead of Bournemouth (10th place)
- Form Trend: Manchester United is in better form with 3 wins in their last 5 games, while Bournemouth has 4 consecutive draws
- Head-to-Head: AFC Bournemouth has been the more dominant side in the last 5 direct duels (2 wins, 3 draws)
Risk Factors
- Manchester United concedes an average of 1.85 goals per away game
- AFC Bournemouth has recorded four consecutive draws, indicating difficulty converting draws into wins
Overview
AFC Bournemouth (10th place, 41 points) host Manchester United (3rd place, 54 points) at the Vitality Stadium
Premier League match on March 20, 2026, 8:00 PM
Manchester United is fighting for a top spot, while Bournemouth aims to establish themselves in the upper half of the table
Form
AFC Bournemouth's current form across all competitions is WDDDD
They recorded 1 win, 4 draws, and 0 losses in their last five matches
Their last game was a 0-0 away draw against Burnley
Manchester United's form across all competitions is DWWLW
They achieved 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last five games
Their last match was a 3-1 home win against Aston Villa
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
AFC Bournemouth averages 1.47 goals scored and 1.53 goals conceded per game this season
At home, they averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.07 goals conceded
Manchester United averages 1.8 goals scored and 1.37 goals conceded per game this season
Away from home, they averaged 1.85 goals scored and 1.85 goals conceded
The Vitality Stadium sees an average of 2.8 total goals per game
Both teams scored in 4 out of 5 matches at the Vitality Stadium
Head-to-Head
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AFC Bournemouth secured 2 wins, Manchester United had 0 wins, and there were 3 draws
AFC Bournemouth scored 13 goals, while Manchester United scored 7 goals in these encounters
The last meeting on December 15, 2025, ended in a 4-4 draw
AFC Bournemouth has shown to be the more dominant team in recent direct duels
Key Players
For AFC Bournemouth, Marcus Tavernier (5 goals, 4 assists, average rating 6.9), Evanilson (6 goals, 0 assists, average rating 6.78), and Amine Adli (3 goals, 1 assist, average rating 6.79) are key players
Marcus Tavernier shows stable form, Amine Adli is on a rising trend
For Manchester United, Bruno Fernandes (7 goals, 16 assists, average rating 7.77), Bryan Mbeumo (9 goals, 3 assists, average rating 7.08), and Matheus Cunha (7 goals, 2 assists, average rating 7.1) are crucial
Bruno Fernandes and Matheus Cunha show a declining form trend
Goalkeepers
Djordje Petrovic, AFC Bournemouth's goalkeeper, has recorded 9 clean sheets this season
Senne Lammens, Manchester United's goalkeeper, has kept 5 clean sheets this season
Influences
The Vitality Stadium averages 2.8 total goals per game
Both teams scored in 80% of matches at the Vitality Stadium
AFC Bournemouth scored an average of 1.5 goals and conceded 1.07 goals at home
Manchester United scored 1.85 goals and conceded 1.85 goals on average in away games