Premier League
Tottenham Hotspur - Nottingham Forest
03/22/2026, 02:15 PM
Expected Goals
1.8
4.2
2.4
1:2
8%2:2
7%1:3
6%2:1
6%2:3
6%What influences the xG?
Tottenham Hotspur
Nottingham Forest
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
28%
Draw
21%
Away Win
51%
Goals
Over 1.5
93%
Under 1.5
7%
Over 2.5
78%
Under 2.5
22%
Over 3.5
60%
Under 3.5
40%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
49%
Away or Draw
72%
No Draw
79%
Both Score
Yes
76%
No
24%
Key Factors
- Pipeline Prediction: The mathematical analysis predicts an away win for Nottingham Forest with a 51% probability
- High-scoring Games at the Venue: The Tottenham Hotspur Stadium recorded an average of 4.2 goals per game in the last 5 matches, with 100% BTTS and over 2.5 goals
- Nottingham's Positive Form and Head-to-Head Strength: Nottingham Forest won 3 of 5 direct encounters and shows a positive form trend
Risk Factors
- Nottingham Forest has only 3 days since their last match
- Nottingham Forest scores only 0.93 goals per game on average this season
Overview
Tottenham Hotspur (16th place, 30 points) host Nottingham Forest (17th place, 29 points) at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
Premier League match on March 22, 2026, 3:15 PM
Both teams are in the lower half of the table, fighting for crucial points in the relegation battle
Form
Tottenham Hotspur's last five games show a form of LLLDW (1 Win, 1 Draw, 3 Losses)
Nottingham Forest's last five games show a form of LDLDW (1 Win, 2 Draws, 2 Losses)
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Tottenham's recent form trend is stable, with a consistent 1.6 goals per game
Nottingham Forest shows a positive form trend, currently scoring more frequently (1.7 goals) than their season average (1.4 goals)
Statistics
Tottenham Hotspur scores an average of 1.33 goals per game and concedes 1.57 goals
At home, they average 1.29 goals scored and 1.79 goals conceded
Nottingham Forest scores an average of 0.93 goals per game and concedes 1.43 goals
Away from home, they average 0.94 goals scored and 1.5 goals conceded per game
The Tottenham Hotspur Stadium has seen an average of 4.2 goals per game in the last 5 matches
In these 5 matches, both teams scored, and there were always over 2.5 goals
Head-to-Head
In 5 direct encounters, Tottenham Hotspur secured 2 wins and Nottingham Forest achieved 3 wins
Tottenham Hotspur scored 6 goals, while Nottingham Forest scored 7 goals
The last encounter on December 14, 2025, ended with a 3-0 victory for Nottingham Forest
Key Players
For Tottenham Hotspur, key players include:
Richarlison (Attacker) with 9 season goals and 4 assists, with an average rating of 6.99
Cristian Romero (Defender) with 4 season goals and 1 assist, with an average rating of 7.03
Pape Matar Sarr (Midfielder) with 2 season goals and 3 assists, with an average rating of 6.85
For Nottingham Forest, notable players are:
Morgan Gibbs-White (Midfielder) with 8 season goals and 2 assists, with an average rating of 6.95
Elliot Anderson (Midfielder) with 2 season goals and 2 assists, with an average rating of 7.26
Callum Hudson-Odoi (Attacker) with 3 season goals and 2 assists, with an average rating of 6.85
Goalkeepers
Tottenham Hotspur's goalkeeper, Guglielmo Vicario, has a season average rating of 6.71 and 7 clean sheets
Nottingham Forest's goalkeeper, Matz Sels, has a season average rating of 6.70 and also 7 clean sheets
Influences
Tottenham Hotspur scores an average of 1.29 goals at home and concedes 1.79 goals
Nottingham Forest scores an average of 0.94 goals away and concedes 1.5 goals
The Tottenham Hotspur Stadium is known for high-scoring games, averaging 4.2 goals in the last five matches
In all of these five matches, both teams scored, and there were over 2.5 goals