Premier League
West Ham United - Wolverhampton Wanderers
04/10/2026, 07:00 PM
Expected Goals
2.3
4.0
1.7
2:1
8%2:2
7%3:1
6%1:2
6%3:2
5%What influences the xG?
West Ham United
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
51%
Draw
22%
Away Win
27%
Goals
Over 1.5
92%
Under 1.5
8%
Over 2.5
76%
Under 2.5
24%
Over 3.5
57%
Under 3.5
43%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
73%
Away or Draw
49%
No Draw
78%
Both Score
Yes
74%
No
26%
Key Factors
- West Ham's home offense (1.12 goals per home game) faces Wolverhampton's vulnerable away defense (2.56 goals conceded per away game)
- The mathematical analysis favors West Ham United with a 51% win probability
- High scoring potential: The model predicts a 74% chance for both teams to score and 76% for over 2.5 goals
Risk Factors
- West Ham United's counter-oriented play with an average of 3.2 shots on target could limit offensive output
- Wolverhampton Wanderers show a positive goal-scoring form trend, currently scoring more frequently (1.4) than their season average (1.0)
- Wolverhampton Wanderers have several injured players such as E. Gonzalez Medina (Knee Injury) and S. Johnstone (Shoulder Injury), which could affect squad depth
Overview
West Ham United (18th place, 29 points) host Wolverhampton Wanderers (20th place, 17 points) at the London Stadium
Premier League match on April 10, 2026, 8:00 PM
Both teams are in the relegation zone, making this a crucial encounter in the fight for survival
Form
West Ham United's home form (WDDLD) shows 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss in their last five matches
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Wolverhampton Wanderers' away form (LWWLD) indicates 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last five games
Statistics
West Ham United averages 1.16 goals scored and 1.84 goals conceded per game
At home, West Ham scores 1.12 goals and concedes 1.75 goals
Wolverhampton Wanderers averages 0.77 goals scored and 1.74 goals conceded per game
Away from home, Wolverhampton scores 0.78 goals and concedes 2.56 goals
The London Stadium venue sees an average of 2.4 goals per game
Both teams scored in 80% of matches, and over 2.5 goals occurred in 40%
Head-to-Head
In 5 head-to-head matches, West Ham United secured 3 wins and Wolverhampton Wanderers 2 wins, with no draws
West Ham scored 7 goals, while Wolverhampton scored 6 goals
The last encounter on January 3, 2026, ended in a 3-0 loss for West Ham against Wolverhampton
Key Players
West Ham United's key players include Jarrod Bowen with 8 goals and 6 assists, holding an average rating of 6.95
Mateus Fernandes contributed 3 goals and 3 assists with a rating of 7.04
Crysencio Summerville scored 5 goals and 1 assist with a rating of 6.9
For Wolverhampton Wanderers, João Gomes stands out with 1 goal and 1 assist and a rating of 6.84
André scored 1 goal with a rating of 6.75
Adam Armstrong showed 1 goal and 2 assists with a rating of 6.72
Goalkeepers
West Ham United's goalkeeper, Mads Hermansen, shows a rising form with an average rating of 7.10 in the last 5 games
His season average is 6.80
West Ham United has kept 4 clean sheets this season
Wolverhampton Wanderers' goalkeeper, José Sá, has a stable form with a rating of 6.92 in the last 3 games
His season average is 6.90
Wolverhampton Wanderers has kept 4 clean sheets this season
Influences
West Ham United scores an average of 1.12 goals at home and concedes 1.75 goals
The London Stadium has seen an average of 2.4 goals per game in the last 5 matches
Both teams scored in 4 out of 5 games, and over 2.5 goals occurred in 2 out of 5 games