Super League
Winterthur - St. Gallen
02/18/2026, 06:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.3
3.7
2.4
1:2
9%1:3
8%2:2
6%0:3
6%2:1
5%Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
18%
Draw
20%
Away Win
62%
Goals
Over 1.5
89%
Under 1.5
11%
Over 2.5
72%
Under 2.5
28%
Over 3.5
51%
Under 3.5
49%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
38%
Away or Draw
82%
No Draw
80%
Both Score
Yes
67%
No
33%
Key Factors
- League table superiority: Second-placed St. Gallen meets bottom-of-the-league Winterthur, who are already 29 points behind
- Defensive disaster vs. strong attack: Winterthur's defense is the worst in the league with 2.79 goals conceded per game, facing St. Gallen's offense (1.88 goals per game)
- Clear prediction model: The mathematical analysis strongly favors St. Gallen with a 62% win probability and 2.43 expected goals
Risk Factors
- Historical head-to-head: Contrary to the current situation, Winterthur has won 3 of the last 5 duels against St. Gallen
- St. Gallen's series of draws: The visitors have drawn in 3 of their last 5 games, suggesting difficulties in converting chances
Overview
Winterthur (12th place, 14 points) hosts St. Gallen (2nd place, 43 points) at Stadion SchĂŒtzenwiese
Super League match on February 18, 2026, 7:00 PM
It's a clash of extremes: the bottom team is fighting against relegation, while the visitors are playing for the top of the table
Form
Winterthur form: LWDLL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
The home team has recorded only one win, one draw, and three losses in their last five games
They have lost their last two matches
St. Gallen form: LDDWD
The visitors are more stable with one win, three draws, and one loss in their last five matches, but are struggling to secure wins
Statistics
St. Gallen has a significantly stronger attack, averaging 1.88 goals per game compared to Winterthur's 1.17
The biggest difference is in defence: Winterthur concedes an average of 2.79 goals per game, while St. Gallen concedes only 1.25
Winterthur has not kept a single clean sheet this season, whereas St. Gallen has managed seven
In 20 of Winterthur's 24 matches, there have been over 2.5 goals
Head-to-Head
In the last five head-to-head encounters, Winterthur surprisingly comes out on top with three wins to St. Gallen's one, with one draw
The goal difference also favours Winterthur at 11:8
However, the last meeting ended in a clear 5-0 victory for St. Gallen
Key Players
Andrin Hunziker is Winterthur's top scorer with 8 goals this season
Théo Golliard has contributed with 3 goals and 3 assists
Randy Schneider is an important playmaker with 4 assists
For St. Gallen, Alessandro Vogt is the top striker with 10 goals
Carlo Boukhalfa follows him with 9 goals
Lukas Görtler is the pivotal player in midfield with 4 goals and 6 assists
Goalkeepers
Stefanos Kapino in goal for Winterthur is still waiting for his first clean sheet of the season
Lawrence Ati Zigi of St. Gallen has already kept 7 clean sheets this season
Statistically, the visitors' goalkeeper has a clear advantage
Influences
Winterthur concedes an average of 1.6 goals per game at home, which is significantly less than away (4.78)
Stadion SchĂŒtzenwiese is known for high-scoring games, with an average of 2.8 goals in the last five matches
Both teams scored in four of Winterthur's last five home games