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Premier League

Sunderland - Tottenham Hotspur

04/12/2026, 01:00 PM

1 : 0
Expected Goals
Sunderland
1.4
Total xG
2.5
Tottenham Hotspur
1.1
Most Likely Scores

1:1

14%

2:1

9%

2:0

8%

1:2

7%

2:2

5%
What influences the xG?
SUNTH

Sunderland

4 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (0.8 goals/match)
-0.09
Declining form (0.8 vs 1.1 season average)
-0.09
Standings advantage (pos 12 vs 18, 6 places gap)
+0.04
Chemsdine Talbi on the bench (4 goals, 1 assists)
Dan Ballard not in squad (2 goals, 0 assists)
Eliezer Mayenda on the bench (2 goals, 0 assists)

Tottenham Hotspur

Standings disadvantage (pos 18 vs 12, 6 places gap)
-0.07
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.4 goals/match)
-0.05
Pape Matar Sarr on the bench (2 goals, 3 assists)
Mathys Tel on the bench (3 goals, 0 assists)
Weak away record (1 vs 1.6 goals/match)
Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

43%

Draw

30%

Away Win

27%

Goals

Over 1.5

73%

Under 1.5

27%

Over 2.5

46%

Under 2.5

54%

Over 3.5

25%

Under 3.5

75%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

73%

Away or Draw

57%

No Draw

70%

Both Score

Yes

52%

No

48%

Key Factors
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a double chance (home win or draw) for Sunderland with 73%
  • Sunderland's goal production is currently declining, with 0.8 goals per game below the season average of 1.1
  • Tottenham Hotspur's goal production is also declining, with 1.4 goals per game below the season average of 1.6
Overview

Sunderland (12th place, 43 points) host Tottenham Hotspur (18th place, 30 points) at the Stadium of Light

Premier League match on April 12, 2026, 2:00 PM

Sunderland aims to consolidate its mid-table position

Tottenham Hotspur battles to close the gap in the relegation fight

Form

Sunderland's current form (DWLLW) shows 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses from their last 5 matches

Their last game was a 2-1 away win against Newcastle United

Tottenham Hotspur's form (LLDWL) includes 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their last 5 fixtures

Their last match ended in a 0-3 loss against Nottingham Forest

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Statistics

Sunderland scores an average of 1.03 goals per game and concedes 1.16 goals per game this season

At home, they score 1.05 goals and concede 0.67 goals per home game

Tottenham Hotspur scores an average of 1.29 times and concedes 1.61 goals per game

Away from home, Tottenham Hotspur scores 1.29 goals and concedes 1.29 goals per away game

The Stadium of Light sees an average of 2.4 goals per game

Both teams scored in 2 out of 5 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 3 out of 5 games

Head-to-Head

There has been 1 head-to-head match between Sunderland and Tottenham Hotspur so far

This single encounter ended in a 1-1 draw on January 4, 2026

Both teams scored 1 goal in the direct duel

The historical record shows no dominant team

Key Players

Sunderland:

Enzo Le Fée has contributed 4 goals and 4 assists this season, his form is rising with 1 goal in the last 5 games

Brian Brobbey scored 6 goals and 1 assist this season, hitting the net once in his last 4 appearances

Granit Xhaka recorded 1 goal and 5 assists this season, with 1 assist in his last 5 games

Not nominated: Chemsdine Talbi (4G/1A), Dan Ballard (2G/0A), Eliezer Mayenda (2G/0A)

Tottenham Hotspur:

Richarlison is the top scorer with 9 goals and 4 assists this season, scoring 2 goals and assisting 1 in his last 5 games

Archie Gray provided 2 goals and 2 assists, delivering 2 assists in his last 5 games

Randal Kolo Muani scored 1 goal and 1 assist this season, with 1 goal and 1 assist in his last 4 appearances

Not nominated: Pape Matar Sarr (2G/3A), Mathys Tel (3G/0A)

Goalkeepers

Robin Roefs is Sunderland's goalkeeper and has made 28 appearances this season

Sunderland has kept a total of 9 clean sheets this season

AntonĂ­n KinskĂœ is in goal for Tottenham Hotspur

Tottenham Hotspur has achieved 7 clean sheets this season

Influences

Sunderland demonstrates a solid defensive performance at home, conceding only 0.67 goals per home game

The Stadium of Light records an average of 2.4 goals per game

The home team scored an average of 1.05 goals per home game

Tottenham Hotspur concedes an average of 1.29 goals per away game

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