Premier League
Sunderland - Tottenham Hotspur
04/12/2026, 01:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.4
2.5
1.1
1:1
14%2:1
9%2:0
8%1:2
7%2:2
5%What influences the xG?
Sunderland
Tottenham Hotspur
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
43%
Draw
30%
Away Win
27%
Goals
Over 1.5
73%
Under 1.5
27%
Over 2.5
46%
Under 2.5
54%
Over 3.5
25%
Under 3.5
75%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
73%
Away or Draw
57%
No Draw
70%
Both Score
Yes
52%
No
48%
Key Factors
- The mathematical analysis predicts a double chance (home win or draw) for Sunderland with 73%
- Sunderland's goal production is currently declining, with 0.8 goals per game below the season average of 1.1
- Tottenham Hotspur's goal production is also declining, with 1.4 goals per game below the season average of 1.6
Overview
Sunderland (12th place, 43 points) host Tottenham Hotspur (18th place, 30 points) at the Stadium of Light
Premier League match on April 12, 2026, 2:00 PM
Sunderland aims to consolidate its mid-table position
Tottenham Hotspur battles to close the gap in the relegation fight
Form
Sunderland's current form (DWLLW) shows 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses from their last 5 matches
Their last game was a 2-1 away win against Newcastle United
Tottenham Hotspur's form (LLDWL) includes 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their last 5 fixtures
Their last match ended in a 0-3 loss against Nottingham Forest
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
Sunderland scores an average of 1.03 goals per game and concedes 1.16 goals per game this season
At home, they score 1.05 goals and concede 0.67 goals per home game
Tottenham Hotspur scores an average of 1.29 times and concedes 1.61 goals per game
Away from home, Tottenham Hotspur scores 1.29 goals and concedes 1.29 goals per away game
The Stadium of Light sees an average of 2.4 goals per game
Both teams scored in 2 out of 5 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 3 out of 5 games
Head-to-Head
There has been 1 head-to-head match between Sunderland and Tottenham Hotspur so far
This single encounter ended in a 1-1 draw on January 4, 2026
Both teams scored 1 goal in the direct duel
The historical record shows no dominant team
Key Players
Sunderland:
Enzo Le Fée has contributed 4 goals and 4 assists this season, his form is rising with 1 goal in the last 5 games
Brian Brobbey scored 6 goals and 1 assist this season, hitting the net once in his last 4 appearances
Granit Xhaka recorded 1 goal and 5 assists this season, with 1 assist in his last 5 games
Not nominated: Chemsdine Talbi (4G/1A), Dan Ballard (2G/0A), Eliezer Mayenda (2G/0A)
Tottenham Hotspur:
Richarlison is the top scorer with 9 goals and 4 assists this season, scoring 2 goals and assisting 1 in his last 5 games
Archie Gray provided 2 goals and 2 assists, delivering 2 assists in his last 5 games
Randal Kolo Muani scored 1 goal and 1 assist this season, with 1 goal and 1 assist in his last 4 appearances
Not nominated: Pape Matar Sarr (2G/3A), Mathys Tel (3G/0A)
Goalkeepers
Robin Roefs is Sunderland's goalkeeper and has made 28 appearances this season
Sunderland has kept a total of 9 clean sheets this season
AntonĂn KinskĂœ is in goal for Tottenham Hotspur
Tottenham Hotspur has achieved 7 clean sheets this season
Influences
Sunderland demonstrates a solid defensive performance at home, conceding only 0.67 goals per home game
The Stadium of Light records an average of 2.4 goals per game
The home team scored an average of 1.05 goals per home game
Tottenham Hotspur concedes an average of 1.29 goals per away game