Super League
Zürich - Basel
01/25/2026, 03:30 PM
Expected Goals
1.5
3.1
1.6
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
36%
Draw
35%
Away Win
29%
Goals
Over 1.5
88%
Over 2.5
68%
Over 3.5
42%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
71%
Away or Draw
64%
No Draw
65%
Both Score
Yes
66%
No
34%
Key Factors
- Defensive advantage for Basel: Basel concedes only 1.05 goals per game, while Zürich is at 1.8
- Fatigue factor: Basel has only 3 days of rest since their last match, whereas Zürich had a full week
- Shaqiri's influence: With 6 goals and 9 assists, Xherdan Shaqiri is the decisive offensive player on the pitch
Risk Factors
- Short recovery time for Basel: Only three days of rest could lead to fatigue and a drop in performance
- Stuttering Basel offense: The team's recent goal production of 1.3 is below their season average of 1.6
- Injury concerns for both sides: Multiple sidelined players could affect team chemistry and bench options
Overview
Zürich (8th place, 25 points) hosts Basel (4th place, 33 points) at Stadion Letzigrund
The Super League match takes place on January 25, 2026, at 4:30 PM
This is a clash between a mid-table team and a contender for European spots
Form
Zürich form: WDLLD - 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses in the last 5 games
Basel form: DWDDL - 1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss in the last 5 games
Both teams show mixed form, with Basel having lost only once in their last five matches
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Statistics
Both forward lines are level with 29 goals this season (1.45 avg per game)
The main difference is in defense: Basel has conceded significantly fewer goals with 21 (1.05 avg) compared to Zürich's 36 (1.8 avg)
Basel has kept 7 clean sheets, while Zürich has managed only one
Over 2.5 goals occurred in 14 of Zürich's 20 games, and in 11 of Basel's 20 games
Head-to-Head
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Basel has the upper hand with 3 wins
Zürich has won only 1 game, with 1 draw
The goal difference is 9:4 in favor of Basel
Basel is rated as the dominant team in recent history
Key Players
For Zürich, Philippe Paulin Keny with 7 season goals and Matthias Phaëton with 6 goals are the main scorers
For Basel, Xherdan Shaqiri is the key player with 6 goals and 9 assists
Dominik Schmid has proven to be an important provider with 4 assists
Goalkeepers
Zürich's goalkeeper Yanick Brecher has kept 1 clean sheet in 20 season games
Basel's goalkeeper Marwin Hitz has kept a clean sheet 7 times in his 20 appearances
Statistically, Hitz has a significantly stronger record this season
Influences
At Stadion Letzigrund, there is an average of 2.6 goals per game
In 60% of recent matches at this venue, both teams scored, and 60% had over 2.5 goals
Zürich's record on natural grass is 3 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses
Basel has a record of 2 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses away on natural grass