Premier League
Crystal Palace - West Ham United
04/20/2026, 07:00 PM
Expected Goals
2.0
3.1
1.1
1:1
11%2:1
10%2:0
9%3:1
7%3:0
6%What influences the xG?
Crystal Palace
West Ham United
The Lab
- 1Crystal Palace with Daniel Muñoz: 2.9 goals/90 min. Without: 0 goals/90 min (6 of 8 games)
- 2Crystal Palace: first goal in 4 of 6 games (67%)
- 3Crystal Palace: 4 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)
- 4West Ham United with Aaron Wan-Bissaka: 1.1 goals/90 min. Without: 2.6 goals/90 min (6 of 8 games)
- 5West Ham United: scored only after the break in 3 of 8 games
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
58%
Draw
24%
Away Win
18%
Goals
Over 1.5
82%
Under 1.5
18%
Over 2.5
59%
Under 2.5
41%
Over 3.5
37%
Under 3.5
63%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
82%
Away or Draw
42%
No Draw
76%
Both Score
Yes
58%
No
42%
Key Factors
- Crystal Palace is predicted to win with a 58% probability according to mathematical analysis, with a high expected goal difference (2.00 to 1.06)
- Crystal Palace shows a clear positive form trend with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5 matches
- West Ham's weak away defense, conceding an average of 2.07 goals, meets a strong home side in Crystal Palace
Risk Factors
- West Ham United concedes an average of 2.07 goals per away game
- Selhurst Park, the venue, historically has a low goal average of 1.6 goals per game
Overview
Crystal Palace (13th place, 42 points) host West Ham United (17th place, 32 points) at Selhurst Park. The Premier League match takes place on April 20, 2026, 9:00 PM. Crystal Palace could move further away from the relegation zone with a win, while West Ham desperately needs points in the fight against relegation
Form
Crystal Palace shows a form of DWWWL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss) from all competitions
The team recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last 5 matches
The last game ended in a loss for Crystal Palace
West Ham United has a form of DDLDW
In their last 5 matches, West Ham achieved 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss
West Ham won their last game
Statistics
Crystal Palace averages 1.13 goals scored per game and concedes 1.16 goals per game this season
At home, the team scores an average of 1.14 goals and concedes 1.36 goals
West Ham United averages 1.25 goals scored and 1.78 goals conceded per game this season
Away, the average is 1.29 goals scored and 2.07 goals conceded
Crystal Palace kept 11 clean sheets, West Ham 5 clean sheets
Both teams scored in 16 Crystal Palace games and 18 West Ham games
Over 2.5 goals occurred in 15 Crystal Palace games and 19 West Ham games
Head-to-Head
In the 5 direct head-to-head matches, Crystal Palace secured 3 wins
West Ham United won 1 of the matches, with 1 game ending in a draw
Overall, Crystal Palace scored 10 goals, while West Ham recorded 6 goals
The last encounter on September 20, 2025, ended in a 2:1 victory for Crystal Palace
The home side dominated the recent encounters
Key Players
For Crystal Palace, Daniel Muñoz (3 goals, 2 assists) and Tyrick Mitchell (1 goal, 2 assists) are key players
Maxence Lacroix provides defensive stability and offensive impetus with 1 goal and 2 assists
Not nominated: IsmaĂŻla Sarr (7G/1A), Adam Wharton (0G/5A), Evann Guessand (1G/1A)
For West Ham United, Jarrod Bowen with 8 goals and 8 assists is the top scorer
Mateus Fernandes contributes to the offense with 3 goals and 3 assists
Konstantinos Mavropanos showed good form in the last 5 games with 3 goals
Goalkeepers
Dean Henderson is the goalkeeper for Crystal Palace and recorded 6 home clean sheets
Mads Hermansen is in goal for West Ham United and managed 3 away clean sheets
Influences
The historical record at Selhurst Park shows an average of 1.6 goals per game
Both teams scored in 1 out of 5 games
Over 2.5 goals occurred in 2 out of 5 games