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Premier League

Wolverhampton Wanderers - Tottenham Hotspur

04/25/2026, 02:00 PM

0 : 1
Expected Goals
Wolverhampton Wanderers
1.0
Total xG
2.5
Tottenham Hotspur
1.4
Most Likely Scores

1:1

14%

0:1

10%

0:0

10%

1:2

9%

0:2

9%
What influences the xG?
WWTH

Wolverhampton Wanderers

Attack weakness (0.49x league average)
-0.60
Defensive weakness (1.9 conceded vs 1.5 league avg)
+0.41
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1 goals/match)
+0.02
Ladislav Krejci not in squad (2 goals, 1 assists)
Jean-Ricner Bellegarde on the bench (1 goals, 1 assists)

Tottenham Hotspur

Defensive weakness (1.6 conceded vs 1.2 league avg)
+0.39
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.2 goals/match)
-0.10
Declining form (1.2 vs 1.6 season average)
-0.10
Richarlison on the bench (9 goals, 4 assists)
Cristian Romero  not in squad (4 goals, 1 assists)
Pape Matar Sarr not in squad (2 goals, 3 assists)
Archie Gray on the bench (2 goals, 2 assists)
Mathys Tel on the bench (3 goals, 0 assists)
42% of goal output missing (only 67% available)
Weak away record (1 vs 1.6 goals/match)
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Wolverhampton Wanderers: scored only in H2 in 3 consecutive games (4 of 8 total)

  • 2
    Wolverhampton Wanderers: 5 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)

  • 3
    Wolverhampton Wanderers with José Sá: 1.3 goals/90 min. Without: 0.5 goals/90 min (6 of 8 games)

  • 4
    Tottenham Hotspur with Djed Spence: 2.3 goals/90 min. Without: 0.6 goals/90 min (5 of 8 games)

  • 5
    Wolverhampton Wanderers: 67% of all goals between minutes 76-90 (6 of 9)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

26%

Draw

30%

Away Win

44%

Goals

Over 1.5

73%

Under 1.5

27%

Over 2.5

45%

Under 2.5

55%

Over 3.5

24%

Under 3.5

76%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

56%

Away or Draw

74%

No Draw

70%

Both Score

Yes

51%

No

49%

Key Factors
  • Wolverhampton Wanderers boast a strong head-to-head record with 3 wins and 2 draws in 5 direct encounters
  • Tottenham Hotspur averaged 6.8 shots on target in their last 5 games, highlighting their offensive strength
  • Wolverhampton Wanderers only average 0.73 goals per game this season, making them the league's weakest attack
Risk Factors
  • For Tottenham Hotspur, Richarlison, Cristian Romero , Pape Matar Sarr, Archie Gray, and Mathys Tel are not in the lineup, leaving only 67% of the usual starting XI goal threat available
  • Wolverhampton Wanderers averaged only 0.74 home goals per game
  • Wolverhampton Wanderers averaged only 3.0 shots on target in their last 5 games
Overview

Wolverhampton Wanderers (20th place, 17 points) host Tottenham Hotspur (18th place, 31 points) at Molineux Stadium

Premier League match on April 25, 2026, 3:00 PM

Both teams are fighting for survival in the lower part of the table

Form

Wolverhampton Wanderers' recent form in the last five league games is WLDLL

This translates to 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses

They suffered two consecutive losses recently

Tottenham Hotspur's form in their last five matches is DWLLD

This means 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses

The last matchday ended in a draw

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Statistics

Wolverhampton Wanderers averages 0.74 home goals per game and concedes 1.35 goals

Tottenham Hotspur scores an average of 1.29 away goals and concedes 1.35 goals

Molineux Stadium recorded an average of 3.4 goals per game in the last 5 matches

In 4 out of 5 of these games, both teams scored, and over 2.5 goals were scored

Head-to-Head

In 5 direct Premier League encounters, Wolverhampton Wanderers dominate with 3 wins

Tottenham Hotspur has not won any of the last 5 duels, with 2 draws recorded

The Wolves scored 11 goals, while Spurs managed 7 goals

The last encounter on September 27, 2025, ended in a 1:1 draw

Key Players

For Wolverhampton Wanderers, Rodrigo Gomes stands out with 3 goals and an average rating of 6.72

André shows a rising form with 1 goal and a rating of 7.08 in the last 4 games

João Gomes contributed 1 goal and 1 assist, with an average rating of 6.79

For Tottenham Hotspur, Pedro Porro is a key player with a rising form and 1 goal in the last 4 games with a rating of 7.62

Xavi Simons scored 2 goals and 5 assists, and was involved in 1 goal and 1 assist in the last 4 games

Rodrigo Bentancur  showed stable form with an average rating of 7.03 in the last 5 games

Goalkeepers

José Sá, goalkeeper for Wolverhampton Wanderers, played in 20 season games and achieved 4 clean sheets for his team

Antonín Kinský, Tottenham Hotspur's goalkeeper, appeared in 2 season games and his team kept a clean sheet 7 times

Influences

Wolverhampton Wanderers has a goal difference of 17:31 goals at home

Tottenham Hotspur has an away record of 22:23 goals

Molineux Stadium shows a high goal rate, with an average of 3.4 goals per game in the last 5 matches

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