Premier League
West Ham United - Everton
04/25/2026, 02:00 PM
Expected Goals
2.2
4.2
2.1
2:2
7%2:1
7%1:2
7%3:2
5%3:1
5%What influences the xG?
West Ham United
Everton
The Lab
- 1Everton with Dwight McNeil: 2 goals/90 min. Without: 0.5 goals/90 min (6 of 8 games)
- 2West Ham United with Callum Wilson: 4.3 goals/90 min. Without: 1.5 goals/90 min (5 of 8 games)
- 3Everton: 5 of 8 games without conceding in H1, but only 2 over 90 minutes
- 4West Ham United: scored only after the break in 3 of 8 games
- 5Everton: 3 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
41%
Draw
22%
Away Win
37%
Goals
Over 1.5
93%
Under 1.5
7%
Over 2.5
79%
Under 2.5
21%
Over 3.5
61%
Under 3.5
39%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
63%
Away or Draw
59%
No Draw
78%
Both Score
Yes
78%
No
22%
Key Factors
- High-scoring prediction: Mathematical analysis predicts a high probability for over 2.5 goals (79%) and that both teams will score (78%).
- Offensive form trends: Both teams show a positive development in attack, with more goals recently than their season average (West Ham 1.8 vs. 1.3, Everton 1.6 vs. 1.3).
- Everton's defensive strength: Everton boasts a significantly more stable defense with an average of 1.18 goals conceded per game compared to West Ham's 1.73 goals conceded.
Risk Factors
- Tight outcome: Pipeline predictions indicate a close match, with 41% for a home win, 22% for a draw, and 37% for an away win.
- West Ham's defensive weakness: West Ham concedes an average of 1.73 goals per game this season, representing a potential vulnerability.
Overview
West Ham United (17th place, 33 points) host Everton (10th place, 47 points) at the London Stadium. Premier League match on April 25, 2026, 3:00 PM. West Ham are fighting against relegation, while Everton are having a solid season.
Form
West Ham United's home form (DLDWD) shows a record of 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss in their last five matches. Most recently, they drew 0:0 against Crystal Palace. Everton (WLWDL) has 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last five games, with their most recent being a 1:2 loss against Liverpool. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss.
Statistics
West Ham United scored an average of 1.21 goals and conceded 1.73 goals per game this season. Everton also scored 1.21 goals per game and conceded an average of 1.18 goals. At their home London Stadium, West Ham scores 1.22 goals and concedes 1.56 goals per match. Everton concedes an average of 1.20 goals and scores 1.20 goals away. The last five matches at the London Stadium averaged 2.8 total goals, with both teams scoring in 3 of 5 games and over 2.5 goals occurring in 3 of 5 games.
Head-to-Head
In 5 head-to-head matches, there has been 1 win for West Ham United, 1 win for Everton, and 3 draws. The goal difference is 5:4 in favor of West Ham. The last encounter ended in a 1:1 draw on September 29, 2025.
Key Players
For West Ham United, Konstantinos Mavropanos shows a strongly rising form with 3 goals in his last 5 games (season goals 3). Mateus Fernandes scored 1 goal in his last 4 games, his form trend is rising. Jarrod Bowen showed stable form with 2 assists in his last 5 games.
For Everton, Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall is in stable form with 2 goals and 1 assist in his last 5 games (season goals 7, season assists 4). Iliman Ndiaye is also in stable form with 1 goal and 1 assist in his last 5 games (season goals 6, season assists 3). Idrissa Gueye improved his form and set up 2 goals in his last 5 games. Not nominated for Everton is Beto (8 goals, 1 assist).
Goalkeepers
West Ham's goalkeeper Mads Hermansen has recorded 6 clean sheets this season. Everton's Jordan Pickford has kept 11 clean sheets this season.
Influences
The home advantage for West Ham United at the London Stadium is evident with 1.22 home goals scored and 1.56 home goals conceded per game. The stadium itself averages 2.8 goals per match. The playing surface is grass.