Premier League
Brentford - West Ham United
05/02/2026, 02:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.8
3.0
1.2
1:1
12%2:1
10%2:0
8%1:2
7%2:2
6%What influences the xG?
Brentford
West Ham United
The Lab
- 1West Ham United with Soungoutou Magassa: 5.7 goals/90 min. Without: 0.9 goals/90 min (6 of 8 games)
- 2West Ham United: scored only after the break in 3 of 8 games
- 3Brentford with Kristoffer Ajer: 2.6 goals/90 min. Without: 0.7 goals/90 min (4 of 8 games)
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
50%
Draw
26%
Away Win
24%
Goals
Over 1.5
81%
Under 1.5
19%
Over 2.5
58%
Under 2.5
42%
Over 3.5
35%
Under 3.5
65%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
76%
Away or Draw
51%
No Draw
74%
Both Score
Yes
60%
No
40%
Key Factors
- Pipeline prediction: The mathematical analysis forecasts a home win with 50% probability
- Form surge: West Ham United shows a positive form trend, currently scoring more frequently (2.0) than their season average (1.4)
- Home offense: Brentford scores an average of 1.47 goals per home game
Risk Factors
- Brentford had only 5 days of rest since the last match
- West Ham United concedes an average of 1.93 goals per away game (awayGoalsConcededAvg)
- Brentford averaged 3.4 shots on target in their last 5 games (homeTacticalMetrics.avgShotsOnTarget)
Overview
Brentford (9th place, 48 points) host West Ham United (17th place, 36 points) at the Gtech Community Stadium. The Premier League match takes place on May 2, 2026, 3:00 PM. Brentford aims to consolidate its mid-table position, while West Ham fights for survival and seeks to increase the distance from the relegation zone.
Form
Brentford's recent form is DDDDL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss). In their last 5 games, they recorded 0 wins, 4 draws, and 1 loss. The last game was a loss. West Ham United's form is LDWDW, with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last 5 matches. Their last game was a win. Brentford scored 5 goals and conceded 6 in their last five matches. West Ham scored 8 goals and conceded 5 in their last five matches.
Statistics
Brentford averaged 1.44 goals scored and 1.35 goals conceded per game this season. At home, these figures are 1.47 goals scored and 1.0 goals conceded. Both teams scored in 18 games, and 17 games had over 2.5 goals. West Ham United averaged 1.24 goals scored and 1.71 goals conceded per game. Away, these values are 1.2 goals scored and 1.93 goals conceded. For West Ham, both teams scored in 19 games, and 20 games had over 2.5 goals. At the Gtech Community Stadium, the average total goals in the last 5 matches was 2.4. Both teams scored in 3 of 5 games, and 2 of 5 games had over 2.5 goals.
Head-to-Head
In 5 direct Premier League encounters, Brentford secured 2 wins, West Ham United had 1 win, and there were 2 draws. Brentford scored 7 goals and conceded 8. The last meeting on March 9, 2026, ended in a 2:2 draw. West Ham United has been dominant in recent head-to-head matches.
Key Players
Brentford relies on its offense with Igor Thiago, who registered 21 goals and 1 assist in 34 appearances this season, with an average rating of 7.11. Kevin Schade contributed 7 goals and 3 assists in 31 games, with a rating of 6.85. Dango Ouattara provided 5 goals and 3 assists in 28 games, with a rating of 6.82. For West Ham United, Jarrod Bowen, with 8 goals and 10 assists in 34 appearances and a rating of 7.01, is crucial. Tomáš Souček scored 5 goals in 31 games with a rating of 6.76. Crysencio Summerville has 5 goals and 1 assist in 27 games with a rating of 6.86.
Goalkeepers
Brentford fields Caoimhín Kelleher, who kept 9 clean sheets in 33 season appearances. For West Ham United, Mads Hermansen is in goal, having achieved 4 clean sheets in 14 games.
Influences
Brentford's home strength is evident with an average of 1.47 goals scored and 1.0 goals conceded per home game. West Ham United, on the other hand, concedes an average of 1.93 goals per away game. The Gtech Community Stadium has an average of 2.4 goals in the last 5 games, with both teams scoring in 60% of matches and over 2.5 goals in 40% of matches.