đŸŽó §ó ąó „ó źó §ó ż

Premier League

Wolverhampton Wanderers - Sunderland

05/02/2026, 02:00 PM

1 : 1
Expected Goals
Wolverhampton Wanderers
0.8
Total xG
2.3
Sunderland
1.5
Most Likely Scores

1:1

14%

0:1

13%

0:0

11%

0:2

11%

1:2

9%
What influences the xG?
WWSUN

Wolverhampton Wanderers

Attack weakness (0.45x league average)
-0.77
Defensive weakness (1.9 conceded vs 1.5 league avg)
+0.39
4 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (0.6 goals/match)
-0.09
Declining form (0.6 vs 0.9 season average)
-0.09
Standings disadvantage (pos 20 vs 12, 8 places gap)
-0.07
Ladislav Krejci not in squad (2 goals, 1 assists)
Jean-Ricner Bellegarde on the bench (1 goals, 1 assists)

Sunderland

Standings advantage (pos 12 vs 20, 8 places gap)
+0.06
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.2 goals/match)
+0.02
Habib Diarra on the bench (2 goals, 1 assists)
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Wolverhampton Wanderers with Yerson Mosquera: 1.4 goals/90 min. Without: 0 goals/90 min (6 of 8 games)

  • 2
    Sunderland with Wilson Isidor: 5.2 goals/90 min. Without: 1 goals/90 min (6 of 8 games)

  • 3
    Wolverhampton Wanderers: 5 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)

  • 4
    Wolverhampton Wanderers: scored only in H2 in 3 consecutive games (3 of 8 total)

  • 5
    Wolverhampton Wanderers: 5 of 8 games without conceding in H1, but only 1 over 90 minutes

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

20%

Draw

30%

Away Win

51%

Goals

Over 1.5

69%

Under 1.5

31%

Over 2.5

41%

Under 2.5

59%

Over 3.5

21%

Under 3.5

79%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

49%

Away or Draw

80%

No Draw

70%

Both Score

Yes

46%

No

54%

Key Factors
  • The mathematical analysis predicts an away win for Sunderland with a probability of 51%
  • Wolverhampton Wanderers show a negative form trend with 0 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses in their last 5 matches
  • Sunderland's recent tactical performance includes an average of 4.8 shots on target per game, compared to Wolverhampton's 2.8
Risk Factors
  • Wolverhampton Wanderers' home scoring is notably low, with an average of only 0.71 goals per home game this season
  • Sunderland's defense shows vulnerability away from home, conceding an average of 2.17 goals per away match
  • Sunderland's recent defensive form has declined, with an average of 2.2 goals conceded in their last 5 matches, higher than their season average of 1.38
Overview

Wolverhampton Wanderers (20th place, 17 points) host Sunderland (12th place, 46 points) at Molineux Stadium

Premier League match on May 2, 2026, 4:00 PM

The Wolves are at the bottom of the table, fighting against relegation, while Sunderland occupies a comfortable mid-table position

Form

Wolverhampton Wanderers' form in their last 5 games is L-D-L-L-L (0 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses)

They recently lost 0-1 against Tottenham and 0-3 against Leeds United

Wolverhampton Wanderers' goal production has recently stalled at 0.6 goals per game, with a season average of 0.9 goals

Sunderland shows a form of L-W-W-L-L in their last 5 games (2 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses)

They lost 0-5 against Nottingham Forest and 3-4 against Aston Villa, but won 1-0 against Tottenham Hotspur and 2-1 against Newcastle United

Sunderland's goal production is stable recently with 1.2 goals per game, compared to a season average of 1.1 goals

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Statistics

Wolverhampton Wanderers score an average of 0.71 goals per game and concede 1.82 goals per game

They kept 4 clean sheets and both teams scored in 14 matches

At home, the Wolves score an average of 0.71 goals and concede 1.33 goals

Sunderland score an average of 1.06 goals per game and concede 1.32 goals per game

They kept 10 clean sheets and both teams scored in 15 matches

Away from home, Sunderland score an average of 1.08 goals and concede 2.17 goals

Molineux Stadium averages 2.8 total goals per game

In 60% of the last 5 games at Molineux Stadium, both teams scored, and in 60% there were over 2.5 goals

Head-to-Head

There has only been one direct encounter between these two teams so far

Sunderland won this away match 2-0 on October 18, 2025

The recent head-to-head record is dominated by Sunderland

Key Players

For Wolverhampton Wanderers, Tolu Arokodare (3 goals, 1 assist, avg rating 6.68, stable form), Adam Armstrong (1 goal, 2 assists, avg rating 6.67, stable form), and Santiago Bueno (2 goals, 1 assist, avg rating 6.75, declining form) are important players

For Sunderland, Enzo Le FĂ©e (4 goals, 5 assists, avg rating 6.93, rising form), Granit Xhaka (1 goal, 5 assists, avg rating 7.10, stable form), and Brian Brobbey (6 goals, 1 assist, avg rating 6.68, declining form) stand out

Goalkeepers

Daniel Bentley is available for Wolverhampton Wanderers, having made 1 season appearance with an average rating of 6.42

For Sunderland, Robin Roefs guards the goal, achieving an average rating of 6.95 in 31 season appearances

Wolverhampton Wanderers has recorded 4 clean sheets this season

Sunderland has kept a clean sheet 10 times

Influences

Wolverhampton Wanderers' home strength is reflected in an average of 0.71 goals scored and 1.33 goals conceded per home game

Sunderland score an average of 1.08 goals away and concede 2.17 goals

Molineux Stadium records an average of 2.8 goals per game

In the last 5 games at Molineux Stadium, both teams scored in 3 matches and more than 2.5 goals were scored in 3 matches

Ready to Get Started?

Create an account and discover data-driven football analyses. Cancel anytime.