Premier League
Nottingham Forest - Leeds United
08/22/2026, 02:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.5
3.1
1.7
The Lab
- 1Leeds United: 7 of 8 games without conceding in H1, but only 2 over 90 minutes
- 2Nottingham Forest with Morgan Gibbs-White: 2.7 goals/game. Without: 0.5 goals/game (6 of 8 games)
- 3Nottingham Forest: scored only after the break in 4 of 8 games
- 4Leeds United with Noah Okafor: 2 goals/game. Without: 0.7 goals/game (5 of 8 games)
- 5Nottingham Forest: 5 of 8 games without conceding in H1, but only 2 over 90 minutes
Key Factors
- Tactical advantage: Nottingham recently averaged 4.2 shots on target with 44.6% possession
- Weak away defense: Leeds United concedes an extremely high average of 2.19 goals per away game
- Offensive consistency: Forest scores consistently, averaging 1.47 goals per match according to advanced stats
Risk Factors
- Recent decline: Leeds United's goal production has stalled at 1.0 goals per game compared to their season average of 1.49
- Defensive vulnerability: Nottingham recently conceded a high average of 2.0 goals per match
Overview
Nottingham Forest host Leeds United at The City Ground
Premier League match on August 22, 2026, 3:00 PM
Both teams currently sit level on points in 14th and 15th place
An evenly matched duel to start the season
Form
Nottingham Forest shows a form of WLDLD
The home side's recent record includes 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses
Leeds United travels with a form of LWDWL
The visitors recently recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses
Form code meaning: W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
Nottingham Forest scored 48 goals and conceded 51 over the season
At home, Forest conceded an average of 1.44 goals per match
Leeds United scored 49 goals and conceded 56 throughout the season
Leeds' away weakness is apparent with an average of 2.19 goals conceded per away game
Head-to-Head
In 2 head-to-head matches, each team has recorded 1 win
The last meeting ended in a 3-1 victory for the home side on February 6, 2026
The historical balance between the two clubs is completely even
Key Players
Morgan Gibbs-White scored 15 goals and provided 4 assists
Igor Jesus contributed 6 goals and 4 assists
Dan Ndoye scored 2 goals in the last 5 matches
Dominic Calvert-Lewin scored 14 goals and provided 1 assist this season
Brenden Aaronson contributed 4 goals and 5 assists
Anton Stach recorded 5 goals and 3 assists this season
Not nominated: Elliot Anderson (4 goals / 4 assists), Omari Hutchinson (1 goal / 5 assists), Chris Wood (3 goals / 0 assists), Nicolás Domínguez (1 goal / 1 assist)
Goalkeepers
Matz Sels played 31 matches and kept 9 clean sheets
James Trafford starts in goal for the visitors
Both goalkeepers aim to keep a clean sheet for the season opener
Influences
The match will be played on a grass surface
Home advantage at The City Ground is a key factor for Forest
The City Ground averages 2.2 goals per match