Premier League
Manchester United - Ipswich Town
08/30/2026, 03:30 PM
Expected Goals
1.5
2.4
0.9
1:1
14%1:0
12%2:0
10%0:0
10%2:1
9%What influences the xG?
Manchester United
Ipswich Town
League
The Lab
- 1Manchester United: 5 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 12 games)
- 2Manchester United with Bryan Mbeumo starting: 2 goals/game, without him: 1.2 (22/6 games, last 30)
- 3Ipswich Town: 6 of 21 goals scored by substitutes (last 12 games)
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
51%
Draw
29%
Away Win
20%
Goals
Over 1.5
72%
Under 1.5
28%
Over 2.5
44%
Under 2.5
56%
Over 3.5
23%
Under 3.5
77%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
80%
Away or Draw
49%
No Draw
71%
Both Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Key Factors
- Mathematical analysis forecasts a home win probability of 51%
- Both sides showed high attacking intent recently, averaging 5.4 shots on target per match
- Manchester United retain 91% of their lineup strength despite missing Amad Diallo
Risk Factors
- Limited statistical player data available for Ipswich Town in the provided dataset
- Manchester United suffered a 0-2 away defeat against Hull City in their most recent league game
- Ipswich Town possess a highly stable form curve, remaining undefeated in their last five matches (WDDWW)
Overview
Manchester United host Ipswich Town at Old Trafford
Premier League match on August 30, 2026, 4:30 PM
The hosts are currently in 16th place with 0 points
Ipswich Town arrive in 9th place with 3 points
Manchester United seek their first win of the season after a slow start
Form
Manchester United form: WDWWL
Most recent match ended in a loss against Hull City
Summary shows 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in recent games
Ipswich Town form: WDDWW
Last outcome was a win against Sunderland
Summary shows 3 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses recently
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
Manchester United scored an average of 1.82 goals and conceded 1.32 goals per season game
At home, they averaged 1.86 goals scored and 1.14 goals conceded
Ipswich Town scored an average of 1.74 goals while conceding 1.02 per game
In away matches, the visitors conceded an average of 1.43 goals and scored 1.76
Head-to-Head
Two head-to-head matches in recent history
One win for Manchester United and one draw
Goal difference of 4:3 in favor of the hosts
The last meeting ended in a 3:2 win for Manchester United on February 26, 2025
Key Players
Bruno Fernandes recorded 9 goals and 21 assists this season with an average rating of 7.77
Bryan Mbeumo scored 11 goals and provided 3 assists with a rating of 7.00
Matheus Cunha contributes 10 goals and 2 assists with a rating of 7.15
Leif Davis is featured in the starting lineup for the visitors as a defender
Marcelino Núñez operates in the midfield of Ipswich Town
Dara O'Shea strengthens the defensive line of the away team
Goalkeepers
Senne Lammens guards the goal for Manchester United, recording 8 clean sheets
Kjell Scherpen starts in goal for the visitors, with Ipswich Town securing 17 clean sheets overall
Influences
The match will be played on natural grass at Old Trafford
The last five matches at this venue averaged 4.0 goals per game
Both teams scored in all of those five historic home fixtures
Manchester United scored an average of 1.86 goals per home game