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Premier League

Fulham - Crystal Palace

09/05/2026, 02:00 PM

2 : 3
Expected Goals
Fulham
1.5
Total xG
2.8
Crystal Palace
1.3
Most Likely Scores

1:1

13%

2:1

9%

1:2

8%

2:0

7%

2:2

6%
What influences the xG?
FULCP

Fulham

3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1 goals/match)
-0.10
Declining form (1 vs 1.3 season average)
-0.10
Emile Smith Rowe on the bench (3 goals, 0 assists)
Rodrigo Muniz on the bench (1 goals, 1 assists)
41% of goal output missing (only 64% available)

Crystal Palace

4 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1 goals/match)
-0.12
Declining form (1 vs 1.4 season average)
-0.12
IsmaĆÆla Sarr not in squad (9 goals, 1 assists)
Daniel MuƱoz not in squad (4 goals, 3 assists)
JĆørgen Strand Larsen on the bench (3 goals, 0 assists)
64% of goal output missing (only 52% available)

League

High-scoring league (3 goals/match)
+0.55
+0.55
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Fulham: opponent scores first in 8 of 10 games (80%)

  • 2
    Crystal Palace: 8 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 12 games)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

39%

Draw

28%

Away Win

33%

Goals

Over 1.5

79%

Under 1.5

21%

Over 2.5

53%

Under 2.5

47%

Over 3.5

31%

Under 3.5

69%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

67%

Away or Draw

61%

No Draw

72%

Both Score

Yes

58%

No

42%

Key Factors
  • Only 52% of Crystal Palace's usual attacking threat is available as IsmaĆÆla Sarr, Daniel MuƱoz, and JĆørgen Strand Larsen are missing
  • Fulham averaged 59% possession recently in their past matches
  • The mathematical prediction lists Fulham with a slight advantage and a 39% home win probability
Risk Factors
  • Emile Smith Rowe and Rodrigo Muniz are missing for Fulham, leaving only 64% of their usual attacking threat available
  • The attack is struggling for both teams with only 1.0 average goals scored in recent matches
  • Crystal Palace dominated the head-to-head history recently with 3 wins in the last 5 meetings
Overview

Fulham hosts Crystal Palace at Craven Cottage

Premier League match on September 5, 2026, 4:00 PM

Both teams started with zero points, sitting in 16th and 18th place

Form

Fulham holds a form of LDWLL with 1 win and 1 draw in their last 5 games

Crystal Palace has a form of DLWLL with 1 win and 1 draw

Both sides suffered defeats in their opening two league fixtures

Statistics

Fulham scores an average of 1.24 goals and concedes 1.34 per game

At home, Fulham concedes only 0.83 goals on average

Crystal Palace scores an average of 1.1 goals in away matches

Head-to-Head

5 head-to-head matches in total

Crystal Palace won 3 games, while Fulham won 1 with 1 draw

The last direct meeting ended in a 1:1 draw

Key Players

Alex Iwobi offers attacking threat with a season rating of 7.04

Josh King scored 1 goal in his last 4 appearances

Antonee Robinson strengthens the defense as a consistent performer

Goalkeepers

Bernd Leno secured 6 clean sheets at Craven Cottage this season

Dean Henderson recorded 12 clean sheets overall across all games

Influences

Craven Cottage averages 2.6 goals per match

Fulham has a strong home defense, conceding only 0.83 goals per home game

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