Premier League
Liverpool - Fulham
09/12/2026, 02:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.6
2.6
1.0
1:1
13%2:0
10%2:1
10%1:2
6%3:0
5%What influences the xG?
Liverpool
Fulham
League
The Lab
- 1Fulham: opponent scores first in 7 of 10 games (70%)
- 2Liverpool: 33% of all goals between minutes 46-60 (7 of 21)
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
51%
Draw
28%
Away Win
21%
Goals
Over 1.5
74%
Under 1.5
26%
Over 2.5
47%
Under 2.5
53%
Over 3.5
26%
Under 3.5
74%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
79%
Away or Draw
49%
No Draw
72%
Both Score
Yes
51%
No
49%
Key Factors
- Squad impact for Liverpool: Only 71% of typical scoring threat is available with Cody Gakpo, Alexis Mac Allister, Milos Kerkez, and Rio Ngumoha missing
- Offensive potential: Liverpool averaged 6.2 shots on target with 58% possession in their recent matches
- Away vulnerability: Fulham concedes an average of 2.21 goals per away match, making them extremely vulnerable
Risk Factors
- Fatigue factor: Liverpool had only 3 days of rest since their last match, compared to Fulham's 7 days of recovery
- Squad absences: Deficits in lineup depth for Liverpool due to missing key players could impact their consistency
- Limited data availability on historical H2H matchups prior to 2024
Overview
Liverpool (7th place, 5 points) host Fulham (19th place, 0 points) at Anfield
Premier League match on September 12, 2026, 3:00 PM
Liverpool enter the match as strong favorites against the second-to-last team in the table
Form
Liverpool are in good shape and unbeaten in 5 matches with a form trend of DDDWW
The home side comes off two consecutive wins
Fulham travel with a disappointing form record of DWLLL having lost their last 3 matches
The visitors are on a clear downward trend
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
Liverpool scores an average of 1.66 goals per game this season and concedes 1.39 goals
At home, their defense is significantly more stable, conceding only 0.95 goals per game
Fulham averages 1.24 goals scored per game and concedes a worrying average of 2.21 goals on the road
The visitors' defensive vulnerability away from home is statistically prominent
Liverpool has kept 10 clean sheets so far in this campaign
Head-to-Head
The last 4 head-to-head matches show an even balance with 1 win each and 2 draws
The goal difference in these matches is 8:7 in favor of Liverpool
The last meeting on April 11, 2026, ended in a 2-0 home victory for Liverpool
The historical matchup history remains highly competitive with no dominant side
Key Players
Dominik Szoboszlai stands out for Liverpool with 6 goals and 7 assists this season alongside strong recent form
Florian Wirtz has contributed 5 goals and 3 assists so far
Alexander Isak is another key threat with 3 goals this season and a rising form trend
For Fulham, Alex Iwobi is a crucial attacking outlet with 4 goals and 3 assists
Josh King has shown rising form lately with 2 goals in his last 4 appearances
Antonee Robinson solidifies the defense and has scored 1 goal this season
Goalkeepers
Alisson is between the posts for Liverpool, holding a season rating of 6.81
The Brazilian goalkeeper has recorded 5 clean sheets at home this season
Bernd Leno guards the goal for Fulham with a season rating of 6.8
The German goalkeeper has registered 3 away clean sheets so far this campaign
Influences
The home advantage at Anfield is significant, as Liverpool concedes just 0.95 goals per game at home
In contrast, Fulham struggles defensively on the road, conceding an average of 2.21 goals
The match will be played on a natural grass surface
A home win is mathematically projected with a probability of 51%